Showing posts with label shooting. Show all posts
Showing posts with label shooting. Show all posts

Friday, December 4, 2015

"Prayer shaming" after the CA mass shooting

Forgive me for ranting and using foul language here, but for "religious pro-gun conservatives" who find prayer-shaming "offensive and dismissive of their faith," I say... go F yourselves.

We don't have to respect your so-called faith if you don't even show respect for the tenets of the faith. I'm no expert in Christianity, but WEAPONS ARE UN-CHRISTIAN. I know that the history of organized Christianity is barbaric and violent (some periods make ISIS look like pacifists), but the beliefs are pretty clear:
  • Do not live by the sword; violence of any kind is unequivocly wrong
  • Defeat your enemy with love, not with violence
  • Protect the vulnerable, even if it kills you
  • Blessed are the peacemakers
So for the conservative leaders who claim to be Christians, if you don't espouse the most obvious, fundamental teachings of Christ, then you're not really a Christian and your prayers don't mean squat. There is absolutely zero way to justify gun rights and gun ownership through the lens of Christianity (on paper).

These leaders are religious, but they seem to worship guns, money, and themselves more than they love Jesus' teachings.

http://www.post-gazette.com/opinion/Op-Ed/2013/03/03/What-kind-of-gun-would-Jesus-carry/stories/201303030208

Saturday, October 3, 2015

Do we want less gun violence, or don't we?

980+ mass shootings (defined by 4 or more dead, non-drug/gang/war related) in the US since Newtown. That says it all. And keep in mind that the vast majority of gun deaths do not occur in mass shootings, but the less-reported suicides and "regular" homicides.

http://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2015/10/02/445379809/stuff-happens-comment-creates-firestorm-for-jeb-bush

And the typical tone-deaf, uncompassionate, guns-before-people response from GOP leaders (in this case, my favorite guy to hate, Jeb). Basically after a national tragedy relating to guns: "shit happens." But when Muslims attack us: "Bomb them to hell!" I hope Jeb's rivals and the MSM call him out on this.

http://gawker.com/you-dont-pass-a-pool-fencing-law-after-a-child-drowns-1734383068

Jeb is saying we shouldn't rush to impulse legislation after a tragedy. But after a kid fell and drowned in a pool in FL, Jeb's gov't rushed to create a pool fence law. Was that such a bad thing? How many people and pets were saved by that knee-jerk reaction? Like Kahneman's "Thinking Fast and Slow," sometime you want to think fast for your survival. Don't let the trauma fade away so you delude yourself into thinking that it's not a big problem and it won't happen again.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/27/books/review/thinking-fast-and-slow-by-daniel-kahneman-book-review.html?_r=0

And for those who say it's a mental health issue and not a gun issue, I disagree. The vast majority of mentally ill or "weird loner" people are not violent. So unless you want to infringe on the rights of millions of innocents (in a Minority Report style preventative action), I don't see how this will help. Sure it's better safe than sorry to report to authorities if someone you know is concerning you, and those authorities have to respond to legit threats effectively (like how we're trying to deal with suicide prevention warning signs). Of course we as a society should pay more attention/resources to mental illness, hate ideology, and isolated youth. But it won't prevent most mass shootings.

Only locking up guns will do that. Some would say that the Oregon shooter purchased his guns legally and no bkgd. check would have blocked him. So maybe that's the problem: properly interpret the 2nd Amend. (how the courts did pre-NRA) and strictly limit private ownership of guns (or ammo, or both). Maybe people can still buy them, but must store them with 3rd party highly regulated gun locker companies (so it's not the evil gov't controlling our guns). In order to check out the guns, the owner has to be lojacked and have a witness legally vouch for their mental/emotional state. Maybe critics would say that such a system would leave us vulnerable to criminal attacks. Then buy a dog or mace, or support leaders/laws that address the root causes of crime like poverty, education, and racism.

http://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/so-you-think-you-know-the-second-amendment

Alternatively, some people think that the gun culture in SUI "works" because of a deep tradition of safety and personal responsibility (hard to measure). Like how strongly Americans feel about personal freedoms (and football), if we placed a similar or larger emphasis on gun safety, peaceful conflict resolution, and accident prevention, then maybe we could have our guns but not the tragedies (but we have a long way to go: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sBIOJJkEQT4). Keep in mind that SUI's gun deaths per capita are still one of the highest in the 1st world too.

http://world.time.com/2012/12/20/the-swiss-difference-a-gun-culture-that-works/

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Virginia shooter and destructive payback psychology

Like the shooting of NYC cops after Ferguson, if this violence is tied to race and Charleston, it blows my mind. I wonder what these shooters want for their legacy, or what they want the public to take away from their crimes. Maybe Flanagan's manifesto will shed some light, but his atrocious actions pretty much invalidate anything insightful he may have written.

Although racial violence is still vastly disproportionately black victims and white perpetrators, events like this may just perpetuate the stereotype that young black men are all thugs and the black people you work with are unstable and could go off on you any moment. Those perceptions of course do great daily harm to African Americans as a whole - even if it's mostly subtle aggressions that are imperceptible to non-blacks.

I suppose there is a fixation in the American psyche (or human nature in general) about getting payback and taking matters into our own hands. If others have hurt you or those you associate with, how is it is "justice" to commit violence against totally unrelated people who just happen to be of the same broad, arbitrary social category or geography? When Hamas sends some rockets into Israel, why does the IDF bomb and bulldoze homes and hospitals full of women and kids who never touched a rocket? Does that make them feel better, or feel safer? Of the 45M blacks in the US, did Roof think that killing 9 would "set things right" for Obama being president and all the other terrible things blacks have done to whites? And then Flanagan killing 2 whites 300 miles away from SC somehow settles that score too? Obviously this lunacy never ends, so such beliefs should never materialize into action in the first place.

Thursday, June 18, 2015

Race and America

http://news.yahoo.com/shooting-downtown-charleston-south-carolina-031543897.html

We don't yet know the motives of the shooter (only that he is a 21-year-old white male who is still at large in SC). But authorities are labeling this as a hate crime. I know that one incident does not make a trend, but could this be a signal of growing white backlash against "Black Lives Matter" and other efforts to expose racial injustice?

I worry about white people (esp. men) who feel economically marginalized and dignity-attacked by national events since the recession. The worst thing would be a white-power militant backlash like some of the right-wing European parties that rapidly gained prominence during the Euro crisis.

Of course the hardships and insults that some whites feel in America may be real, but the culprits are obviously not minorities. But the true culprits are really good at concealment/propaganda and letting media deflect attention away from them. All you hear from FNC is that Christianity, white people (men), "US values", guns/cops, and conservatism are under attack. But the data show that evangelical Christianity is as strong as ever (despite declines in all other forms of Christianity), whites still have huge advantages in terms of incarceration rates, income, life expectancy, and most other socioeconomic metrics. Also, 3X more hate crimes are perpetrated against blacks than whites, even though blacks are only 12% of the US.

Obviously many whites are having more struggles in America. If they are ignorant, it's fairly easy to persuade them to blame immigrants, gays, liberals, etc. Much of Rush, Fox, etc.'s airtime is devoted to this. So are they actually the race-baiters who motivate some angry whites to attack minorities? Blood could be on their hands (like the Gabby Giffords shooting, etc.).

http://mediamatters.org/video/2014/12/01/fox-guest-we-will-see-more-white-americans-unde/201727
http://www.newshounds.us/to_bill_o_reilly_white_christians_are_under_attack_but_not_african_americans_actually_killed_by_the_police_041615
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/16/opinion/charles-blow-woe-of-white-men-again.html

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Also, did you hear about this Supreme Court ruling (TX did not violate the 1st Amend. by prohibiting a Southern group from making a custom license plate with the Dixie flag) where Thomas was the difference maker, siding with the liberals for the first time? If I can assume that his decision was motivated by his race and his deeper understanding of US racial history, is this an indictment that the Court is biased by personal background? I know we are all biased by our backgrounds, but the Court is supposed to be fair and just and blind, right?

http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/confederate-flag-plates-lack-support-supreme-court

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This was a good discussion about Charleston and race: http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/finding-roots-dylann-roofs-radical-violence/

I wish the guests would have hit harder. Yes, white (men) feel under attack these days - but they should have said that those feelings are utterly baseless and not grounded in fact. Or if some whites are having a harder go these days, it is not due to gains by minorities (and there certainly isn't a minority conspiracy for "payback" against whites - even if it's quite deserved). If they don't outright dismiss these lies, then people will continue to believe them (like how the GOP injects doubt into the global warming issue). You can't give Holocaust deniers and Holocaust historians equal respect just to maintain a "fair debate". Bill Maher said that denying the existence of racism (and accusing others of race-baiting) is a form of racism in itself, and I think that's correct. Some on the right would rather attribute Roof's actions to "hatred of Christianity" instead of hatred of blacks. Speaking of that - to those who don't think the SC massacre (and our reaction to it) was racial, what if a synagogue or a meeting of (white) Wall St. execs was attacked by a black power extremist? If America's response would have been different (and it definitely would have), then that shows bias.

IMO, the debate about the Dixie flag is a red herring. I understand that its presence evokes powerful emotions on both sides, but it's a distraction from the core issue. Fighting over symbols is often a fruitless distraction. We can't change the past (nor its icons) and it's better if we accept it and move on. I suppose it's understandable for Southern folks to feel pride about their roots and the "War for Southern Independence." But they also have to acknowledge that some aspects of their society/regime were evil - and the consequences on blacks persist today. They can acknowledge and find a better path forward like Germany, or they can stick their heads in the sand like Japan and Turkey. I would also hope that African-Americans can see past the flag and not let it consume disproportionate attention. They have more important battles to fight.

Tuesday, January 6, 2015

The police's persecution complex

Oh for F sakes, the hits just keep on coming. Don't blame me for the spam, blame them. ;)

http://news.yahoo.com/police-union-pushes-for-cops-to-be-included-in-federal-hate-crimes-law-183729328.html

So now the cops want violence against them to be classified as hate crimes. And of course the violence that they perpetrate on others (who disproportionately happen to be brown/black) are not. I don't know the full history, but I think hate crimes laws were created (on top of regular criminal laws) as an extra deterrent against such bias-driven crimes.

But there is already a ton of deterrent to violent crimes against cops: (a) angry cops will kill you with great prejudice (remember Dorner), and may kill you first before you have the chance to shoot them, (b) cops have a lot of protection and weapons, (c) the justice system will already come down on you like a ton of bricks (and maybe your family too). So I don't think the extra risk of a hate crime conviction on top of that will affect anyone's behavior.

You know what will stop people from attacking cops? Cops behaving better. It's not the only way, but it's probably the most impactful one, and one that they can control without asking the Feds to change the laws (which is slow and uncertain).  

“Enough is enough! It’s time for Congress to do something to protect the men and women who protect us,” Chuck Canterbury, the president of the [police] union, said in a statement Monday. The group has long lobbied for harsher punishment for those who harm law enforcement officers.
Ah, so now the cops are the ones saying "enough is enough"? That's pretty insulting, since that slogan was recently used by the victims of cop violence (that greatly outnumber cop deaths)?

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This is so dumb on so many levels I don't know where to begin. I did some cursory research on the typical punishment for killing a cop, and (correct me if I'm wrong) but it appears that in most states this is punish-able basically by only a life sentence or death penalty. Hate crime laws tend to "only" add 5-10 years to sentences, so I don't really get the point of this.

But this also speaks to what police/police apologists don't get about this whole conversation. If you kill a cop, you get punished. I know in the more recent case the guy shot himself, but people don't get to kill cops and walk away scot-free. Cops on the other hand, as we have seen, kill people in unjust situations and receive no punishment or even the slightest bit of accountability. The delicate flowers that cops have turned into when it comes to any sort of criticism is crazy.

Quick thing on hate crime laws: my understanding is that they are applied to crimes that affect communities, not just the person injured/murdered/whatever. For example, if it's determined that a gay person was murdered for being gay, that's classified as a hate crime because that sends a threatening message to the whole gay community, not just the person killed. So based on my understanding, it's even more than just an extra deterrent against bias driven crimes.

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Some statistics from the Bureau of Labor and Statistics 2012.

Law Enforcement Workers:   97 deaths, 30 from homicide, the rest from roadway accidents and slips & trips
Supervisors, Sales workers: 100 deaths, 46 from homicide, the rest from roadway accidents and slips & trips

Police apparently kill at least ~400 people per year in the US.  About 100 of those black.  This is excluding justifiable homicide and unreported killings.  

Law enforcement is not in the top 10 most dangerous occupations.  And it is worse if you include compensation for the risk since police are relatively well compensated (compared to say, fisherman or agriculture workers).

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Agreed with both of you.

Yeah being a cop is statistically a better-than-average job for fatality risk. And as you said, they get huge risk comp in the form of earlier retirement (after 15-20 years I think), generous pensions (except broke places like San Jose and Detroit), and a lot of time off (to "de-stress" - I guess that is good for public safety). I hate to sound so harsh, but they are acting like "cry babies" as D alluded to. It's sadly getting to be like the police are a separate society/class with their own interests and rules. In no job should you have to put up with being shot at, but cops were not conscripted into the force - they volunteered with eyes open. OTOH, the uneducated poor more-or-less have no choice but to join the armed forces.

As D said, try to kill a cop or actually kill a cop, you are finished. Get beaten or killed by a cop, he probably won't be affected much, or he might get "early retirement" if there is enough media attention.

This is probably too expensive and controversial to implement, but why should cops have a monopoly on law enforcement? Even in wars, the US hires allies and mercs. Should we be able to pay for private professional security to keep the peace, as well as protect us from and watch the cops? I guess the rich can and already do have that, but the most at-risk communities can't afford it.  

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"Law Enforcement Workers:   97 deaths, 30 from homicide, the rest from roadway accidents and slips & trips
Supervisors, Sales workers: 100 deaths, 46 from homicide, the rest from roadway accidents and slips & trips

Police apparently kill at least ~400 people per year in the US.  About 100 of those black.  This is excluding justifiable homicide and unreported killings.  "


I want to emphasize that last part, because the more people look into it the more it seems that there is a significant number of unreported killings, the very idea of which is insane to me.


Two separate sections from that last article:

"The biggest thing I've taken away from this project is something I'll never be able to prove, but I'm convinced to my core: The lack of such a database is intentional. No government—not the federal government, and not the thousands of municipalities that give their police forces license to use deadly force—wants you to know how many people it kills and why.
It's the only conclusion that can be drawn from the evidence. What evidence? In attempting to collect this information, I was lied to and delayed by the FBI, even when I was only trying to find out the addresses of police departments to make public records requests. The government collects millions of bits of data annually about law enforcement in its Uniform Crime Report, but it doesn't collect information about the most consequential act a law enforcer can do.
...

This is the most most heinous thing I've learned in my two years compiling Fatal Encounters. You know who dies in the most population-dense areas? Black men. You know who dies in the least population dense areas? Mentally ill men. It's not to say there aren't dangerous and desperate criminals killed across the line. But African-Americans and the mentally ill people make up a huge percentage of people killed by police.
And if you want to get down to nut-cuttin' time, across the board, it's poor people who are killed by police. (And by the way, around 96 percent of people killed by police are men.)"

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Yeah I don't think it would work out well - look at the case of private prisons in the US:


https://www.aclu.org/prisoners-rights/private-prisons

I'm not sure what the answer is either. But overseas generally cops are a lot better behaved than in the US. Part of it I think is the training culture. They are trained as and are seen as a customer service job, not a paramilitary job where you occasionally have to talk to the plebs, and have much more oversight: http://www.quora.com/How-do-UK-police-compare-to-US-police

I know everyone is for states rights or whatever, but I honestly think they ought to federalize police or at least turn it over to the states and increase the professionalism of the police force.

Another aspect to look at is that if you give officers the option of deadly force, some will resort to it as a first resort rather than a last resort. They did a study where solo cops were much less likely to get into firefights with the bad guys and wait for backup than when cops went together, as one officer alone is more cautious. Likewise, when things get rough in the field (say a crazy guy that isn't listening to commands reaches into his pants), if you have a gun some will use it. Result: crazy guy dead because he was pulling a toothbrush out. A good cop would assess the situation, try to reason with him, and defuse it. Rambo cops will just shoot and claim they felt threatened (which is the bar for use of deadly force).

I'd think that increased professionalism, breaking down of old boy cop networks (in the UK they rotate police, for example), and tighter control over implements of deadly force would be really helpful here.

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I guess when the public is dependent on some sort of paid entity with little oversight (whether it be for a ride home or law enforcement), corruption and abuse are bound to occur. For the more recent police killing in STL (of an armed black teen this time), I think the cop had a body cam but it wasn't on. I don't understand why the officer should have the ability to control the camera - that defeats the purpose.

That is a good initiative about compiling shooting data. If Waze & its users can track all the car accidents in the US, then the crowd should be able to do the same for shootings (that usually attract onlookers, unless it's a corrupt cover-up killing). I agree with you that the lack of transparency is likely deliberate. Just as the gun lobby has blocked most efforts to create a national gun registry/database/etc. Ironically the cops are against the gun lobby on that issue, but likely engage in the same practices when it suits them. 

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I totally agree with you about the private prisons (and also mercs) - but remember that those "service providers" were hired because the gov't orgs were not equipped to do the job on their own. They were called in as spare capacity. But for the "private cops", they would be a hedge or alternative to the public cops. And since they would be hired by the community, they could be fired at any time. Of course all this sounds wonderful and perfectly smooth on paper, like libertarianism in general. :)

Ah - I forgot to make a joke about M's comments on mercs: Blackstone and Treadrock... "Treadstone" was the illegal CIA program in the "Bourne" movies, and BlackRock are the guys who have all our retirement cash. :) Blackwater are the corrupt mercs from Iraq, but they have been renamed to Xe, and then Academi (gotta love rebranding).

I agree about the rush to deadly force - when you have a hammer, everything looks like a nail. Of course cops aren't shooting indiscriminately into crowds (usually), but they are empowered (and probably encouraged) to forgo de-escalation and end conflicts with guns. I guess a similar pathology to the stand-your-ground and mass-shootings phenomena in the US. So it comes back to the 2nd Amendment issue - fewer guns on the street and better regs will reduce the violence potential of the public. That in turn will likely make the cops less paranoid and trigger happy, or even justify patrolmen to be unarmed and backed up by armed specialists for hostile situations (like the UK). Maybe the gutting of public services and budget cuts are also contributing to this problem. Cops are the last ones to endure cuts, but they have had them. Now maybe more patrolmen have to go on duty solo. I would be curious to know what % of questionable cop shootings occurred when the cop was solo (but as we now know, stats are hard to come by).

A major reform is needed; I think the cop-first mentality and culture is too deeply ingrained that small changes won't help (esp. if they turn off their body cams). New training, hiring criteria, and oversight are needed - but who is going to write those laws? Any change-oriented candidate would get a lot of heat from the cop lobby, and his/her opponent would get their contributions.

I agree with you about federalizing the cops, since smaller police forces have poorer training/oversight, and likely contribute disproportionately to misconduct problems. Standardizing the police would create a lot of efficiencies (and sharing of best practices, etc.), but the states rights crowd would raise hell as you said.

Also agreed about changing the mentality from occupying army to service provider. Very few people complain about FDs, and there is much less misconduct. The PDs that have the best rep with the public (even among minorities), fewer violent incidents, and have shown the most reforms/improvements, all have robust community outreach programs. But currently they are recruiting and giving badges to macho/meathead/blindly loyal types, not empathetic/thoughtful/fair types.

http://www.kqed.org/a/forum/R201412230900

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It seems like somehow police have been lumped in with the military as a must support or no chance of political office entity.  On the radio this morning Ryan seacrest (don't judge me!) Was complaining that there was crazy pressure to wear some "I support the police" hat during his new years eve show.  And subsequent death threats when he didn't.  If even seacrest thinks it is overboard imagine what your everyday douchebag must think.


And if you were an app maker, Waze for cop shootings would be a great release about now.  Now we just need a catchy name.  Raze?  hYelp?  


I'm hopeful that mandatory body cameras help and Los Angeles is implementing them which might help on the national level.

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That's an interesting observation. I think it's very offensive (and undemocratic) for special interest groups to "pressure" the general public to show support for them - lest we be labeled as unpatriotic, soft on crime, etc. "If you're not with us, you're against us." That is another form of intolerant bullying. If you are so great, you don't need to convince anyone with slogans and shirts. It reminds me of a dictator's thugs forcing the citizens at gunpoint to come out and cheer at the dictator's parade, when they all actually hate his guts.

Already the cops get disproportionate support, resources, and political power. They want our love and admiration too? During the War on Terror, I didn't like those bumper stickers that said something like "USMC, thank me for protecting your freedom." My freedom was in pretty good shape without you shooting and bombing anyone. I didn't ask you to go over there, and I do show my thanks by paying taxes and doing other civic duties (incl. protesting when some leaders want to send soldiers to fight unnecessarily).

Cops mostly take evidence after crimes occurred, harass suspicious looking people, and enforce traffic laws. They rarely "prevent crime", except for the deterrent effect of their presence. It's not like Batman swooping in to thwart a bank robbery. So for the cops to imply that they are heroes tirelessly watching over the helpless masses, and keeping the rapists/murderers at bay, is getting it twisted. Violent crime has been on the decline in the US for the past 60 years or more, and policing may not be even a top 3 driver of that (more like economics and other social forces). But still, our gun violence rates are much worse than the EU and east Asia, but as we've discussed, it's concentrated on mostly poor minorities and not the rich (or the cops). If the police go out of their way to protect those folks with the least power, and who are the most at risk, then I would give them props. But they mostly just leave those "animals" to their own devices, keep the riffraff caged in prisons/ghettos and away from the suburbs and malls.

Yeah for all of the LAPD's past sins (and they still have many lingering problems), they have shown a lot of leadership in reforms like community policing, hiring and promoting minorities/women, and the use of some technologies.

Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Cleveland child shooting by police

http://gawker.com/video-cops-shot-12-year-old-two-seconds-after-arriving-1663814827

Re: the Cleveland shooting - the video doesn't tell the whole story (at least there is a video though) and I am not familiar with all the facts, but...

The initial 911 caller told police that he/she thought the firearm was "probably fake", but that info never got to the officers on scene. The shooter was a rookie cop on the job less than a year (of all the officers in the area, why dispatch him to a potential firefight situation?). So lapses in police procedure seem to be contributing. If the officer killed the kid within 2 sec of the vehicle coming to a stop, when exactly did they ask the kid to put his hands up and observe that he didn't comply? Maybe they asked him from their loudspeaker before 0:21? Either way, to me it makes no sense for the other officer to drive the car into the park within 10 feet of the potentially dangerous suspect. Again, that is an act of escalation rather than diffusion that frankly is putting his partner on the driver's side at undue risk. What is the benefit of doing that? I don't mean to be a Monday morning QB, and I am ignorant on police rules-of-engagement, but it doesn't seem logical/effective. So is poor training/procedure also to blame (in addition to poor judgment)?

Why not use their loudspeaker at distance (handgun shooters generally have low accuracy beyond 25 yards) to ask any bystanders in the area to withdraw? Then from behind cover, they can have time to converse with the suspect, evaluate the risk, and discuss with HQ if needed. Why the need for such immediate violent response; the suspect was seated and not posing a threat to anyone at the time (i.e. there was no Hollywood style hostage standoff)? Shouldn't deadly force be the last resort? All of this seems to be circumstantial evidence supporting the theory that black life is not valued by some Americans (esp. in law enforcement). They wouldn't act this way if the suspect was a relative or friend, right? 

For perspective, the Richmond PD has not killed anyone in 7 years, despite the fairly dangerous climate in their city (but that PD is known for good community outreach). And they average  less than 1 officer shooting incident per year. So obviously there is a choice and violence is avoidable, unlike what Wilson claimed.

Sunday, September 21, 2014

Cop killers

I don't know why many US police officers are so hostile/scared of urban black men, when it's probably more likely they will be killed by a "white trash" man. The Obama admin. implemented some protective measures during their 1st term and police deaths fell sharply since 2011. Statistically, being a US cop is safer now than the overall workforce average. And many police deaths were self-inflicted due to not wearing seat belts or distracted driving.
Not so for being a black man (and you can't really quit that like a bad job). Supposedly a black person is killed in the US every 1-2 days by police. I'm pretty confident that a sizable % of those were unnecessary.

http://www.occupy.com/article/black-man-killed-us-every-28-hours-police

Re: cop shootings, I couldn't get stats on the races of the shooters. But considering US demographics, it's very unlikely that blacks are the majority of them, despite what gangsta rappers claim. So it is just racism/ignorance that explains police perceptions and treatment of blacks?

http://www.odmp.org/search/year?year=2014

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Rodger and the UCSB murders

It seems like we have this conversation every few months. The press and social media are active as usual, with a WP commentator even insinuating that Judd Apatow movies are to blame for Rodger's unrealistic expectations for his sex life (like how video games were behind Adam Lanza, and Marilyn Manson led to Columbine).


Most people are dismissing Rodger as just "crazy". He was diagnosed with mild autism but was not on any drugs. However, if all of us got thorough psych evals, I am sure over half of us would register something. After reading some of his "manifesto", he doesn't strike me as deranged or irrational. He of course carefully planned the rampage and kept his composure enough to convince the sheriff's dept. that he was not a threat. Personally, I think this case is more about Rodger's morals/socialization than mental illness. Unfortunately, perfectly sane people can hurt and kill others, as long as their worldview/values/ideology are compatible.

Most people in society realize that they need to address grievances lawfully, and don't have the right to be judge and executioner over perceived injustices. Teaching kids to have grit is popular these days too. At a basic level, kids may have better life outcomes if they learn to handle adversity without having egotistical victim complex and homicidal vengeance like Rodger. That is obvious. So parenting and communication could have made a difference. And then there is the cultural angle, especially among college-aged people where hormone-driven sexual assaults are outrageously high. Young men are bombarded by ludicrous messages that they are losers if they do not bed hot babes every week, no means yes, it's always someone else's fault, and so on. Fortunately better judgment and morals usually win out in the public space.


But most of us are subject to the misogynist culture, and most of us don't rape or kill. Most mentally ill people or gun owners don't either. So what is the key variable that separates mass killers from the rest of us? A tragic combination of these and bad luck? If we can't isolate the personal/social causes and take preventative measures, then the next best thing is limiting the ability of murderous people to access weapons.

Gun ownership rates are correlated with gun murders. The NRA would say causation is reversed - people need to own guns in those places because they live in dangerous places. But a reader on the KQED blog made a good point - instead of (or in addition to) the sheriff interviewing Rodger, could they check the database to see if he owns guns, and whether he bought them recently? For decades the NRA has blocked access to info like that, which has infuriated the public and law enforcement alike. Felons can't own guns, even if they didn't commit a violent crime. So why can a moody 14 year old, alcoholic, or a bipolar person legally own a gun? Some would argue that half of Rodger's victims died by knife. But that is just an anecdote - guns kill way more people than knives each year.

Monday, February 3, 2014

Another controversial Stand Your Ground killing in Florida

Yes, again the shooter is a middle-aged, suburban, white man and the victim is an unarmed black teen. It all started when the victim (Davis) and 3 friends were filling up gas next to the shooter (Dunn). Davis' car was playing loud music and Dunn asked them to turn it down. They complied, but later turned it back up and allegedly made some threatening comments to Dunn. Dunn claims to have seen one of them "reach down for something" in the car, so he pulled out his 9mm from his glove box and fired 4 rounds. No warning shot, no "Stop what you're doing I'm armed!"... just shoot first. But here is the worst part - the youths then proceeded to flee (understandable), and Dunn fired 4 more rounds into the departing vehicle (GREAT job Reuters for failing to include that important detail - of course NPR didn't forget).


I am not sure if any of those "gratuitous" shots were the kill shot, and a later search of Davis' vehicle revealed no weapons. That seems to violate SYG to me - there was no more threat, why keep shooting? He is not Dirty Harry. Was he trying to stop them from blasting their music next time? Some people think that violence is the default response to difficult situations, and they don't consider how that perception will make things worse for everyone.

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Yeah, and it's not like these guys had no choice. Both Zimmerman and Dunn were not having a crime committed against them. In both cases, they did/could have called the police to resolve it, and not directly confront. And in both cases, their escalating actions made violence more likely to ensue. To be fair, if Zimm or Dunn did those things to you or I, likely no one would be dead at the end of the day. But that's the point - they have no idea who they are dealing with. So maybe they should think about whether loud music or a hoodie is enough of a problem to risk the possibility of a gunfight. But a gun in your belt/car suddenly makes you Mr. Badass, so it changes your risk calculations.

That is one of the biggest problems associated with SYG laws and America's gun culture in general. Like Bill Maher joked, America's foreign policy is "What the F you looking at!?!" Same with domestic - why is violence too often the default response to an unpleasant situation? And in a competitive, free society, unpleasant altercations are inevitable. Do we have to go OK Corral every time someone else does something we don't like? The hubris and egoism associated with the rationale behind SYG is shocking to me. I can't believe higher courts haven't looking into the Constitutional implications too.

Pretty much this is the only situation where vigilantism is justified, when a fanatical drug cult takes over your community, there is no rule of law, and your corrupt government/military is ineffective:


http://latinousa.org/2014/01/31/michoacan-101-inside-civilian-militia-uprising/

We do not and should not live in a comic book.

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Obama's underwhelming speech in Newtown

Not sure if any of you saw Obama's speech in CT about the shooting (since they interrupted the 49ers game for it, I expected it to be good). But I was terribly disappointed. He's not the inspirational, transformational leader of 2008 anymore, and it just looks sad when he tries to be these days.

This was from an interview on NPR Weekend Edition with Pastor Eugene Peterson, who was offering advice on what to do (and not to do) for a grieving person. He brought up examples from his own life and ministry.

[At my mother's funeral, this man] put his arm across my shoulders, and he started giving me cliches and talking God talk. And after a few minutes of that, he left. And I said to my daughter Karen: Oh, Karen, I hope I've never done that to anybody. And she said - she was so dear. She says: Oh, daddy, I don't think you'd ever do that. But I had done that. But you learn not to do that when you've been through this a few times.

http://www.npr.org/2012/12/15/167346785/spiritual-strength-in-times-of-great-need

Obama's speech was at an "interfaith" service, so we can expect some spirituality, but I think he really went overboard with the "God talk", obvious parenting advice, and other cliches like "our children are our hearts". To me it's patronizing, which is exactly what Peterson said grieving people don't want to hear. It's of very little comfort when a stranger tells you that the dead "are in a better place now" or we "have to have faith that this is part of a plan." What are you saying, that we shouldn't grieve and be happy instead? That is not empathy, that is lecturing. Or if Obama insists on this course, at least do it powerfully and succinctly like JFK (crescendos delivered in <1 br="br" min="min">
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nf4eQhrHbKA
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NyR_b98weiQ

Sometime (or too often) Obama speaks like a wimp - too guarded and professorial, which makes him come off as weak and un-authentic (compare this to the fiery Obama of 2004-2008). I really think he should fire his speech writers (and definitely his debate coach). It's not campaign season anymore, he doesn't need to blabber on for 20 min with vague, colorful, but distracting language. Otherwise people tune out. I realize it is was terrible situation for a speech, and it is not an easy task even for a gifted orator. Plus Obama is clearly not a natural like Bill (see how well he handled the OK City tragedy, in just 9 min: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5DgXx_evi6Q). Even if he was a total phony (which I doubt), he came off as an expert of humility and empathy, as a great source of comfort and inspiration, as the president we needed then. No wonder why Bill would be the runaway pick for the Dems in 2016 if he could run again. But I guess that's not fair for Obama if he has to try to measure up to that (but I think he compares his presidency to Clinton's a lot).

If I was part of the Newtown community, I would appreciate if he said what he would do to spare other Americans the same pain. Something CONCRETE. A promise, not the other BS he spewed after the last 3 mass shootings during his presidency. Maybe he was heartfelt, but we didn't feel it, and there are no points for effort. I am sure Obama did better meeting solo or in small groups with the victims and local community. But in a nationally televised speech, he has to do better or don't bother at all (since as pastor said, silence is sometime the best thing you can give). After Obama's speech, I don't feel like things are going to get better. I just wonder when he and the Dems will puss-out to the gun lobby, and when the next horrible shooting will be. Obama made me feel cynical, upset, and defeated, whereas JFK and Clinton made me feel energized and hopeful, even if their words are decades old (and we now know about all their personal flaws).

Everyone already knows (apart from the NRA) that the status quo is not good enough. Everyone already knows that protecting our kids is our top priority. Tell us how we're going to get to a better place. The GOP isn't totally wrong; Obama is very thin on details at times. And I'm not talking about a deep dive into policy minutia, research findings, and wonky specifics. There has to be a middle ground between fluff and wonk, and that is where most Americans prefer to communicate and understand. Clinton got that right almost every time, it was uncanny. I respect Bush Sr. for at least having the sack to promise no new taxes, even if he had to break it later. At least he put it out there and the people knew where he stood. Same thing for JFK proclaiming that an American would reach the moon before the decade was out. Maybe he had his doubts, but it helped to quell America's fears about Sputnik. So Mr. no-drama, play-it-safe Obama, can you just say that it's going to be harder for deranged shooters to get their hands on weapons and commit massacres? Maybe attacks won't go down to zero, but please reassure us that things will improve. You said we have to change, and you are Mr. Change, so tell is WHAT exactly is going to change, dammit!

What's it going to be, Barack? What do you want your second term to be remembered for? You somewhat mocked the people who were unsure about you in 2008 as "clinging to their guns" - now you won't even say the word (it's not Voldemort!). Sometime a leader has to tell the people the hard things they may not want to hear, but need to. He even said tonight, good parents can't hope to shield their kids from the world forever. That would be doing them a disservice. Wasn't he all about doing the unpopular thing as long as it was the right thing? Didn't his former chief of staff Emmanuel admonish to never let a crisis go to waste? And he may be surprised that there is more latent support for stronger gun restrictions than the Beltway pollsters suggest. 

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The excuse-for-inaction machine has already started to rev up in DC:

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/white-house-highlights-obstacles-taking-action-guns-205115017--politics.html

Jay Carney: "I think we all recognize that this is a complex problem and there are obstacles to taking action coming from a variety of places... no single piece of legislation, no single action will fully address the problem. So I don't have a specific agenda to announce to you today."

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Critics say the Obama administration hasn't done enough to combat gun violence. Carney responded to that criticism Monday by saying the president has supported an assault weapons ban and that the administration has "taken steps" to improve background checks, "but as you heard the president say last night, we all need to do more."
When pressed by ABC News' Jake Tapper to name specific legislation pushed by the administration, Carney cited "actions" on background checks and again stressed that more action needs to be taken.
Actually the Obama admin. has done nothing of substance. The only notable change was in the other direction - guns are now permitted in national parks.

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Following the movie theater shooting in Aurora, Colo., in July, several Democratic lawmakers pushed legislation to outlaw the sale of high-capacity gun magazines. At the time, Sen. Dianne Feinstein  (D-Calif.) was one of the voices cautioning against wading into gun control during an election year. "It's a bad time to embrace a new subject," Feinstein said.

Only FOUR members of Congress pushed for renewed discussion on gun legislation after Aurora. And Feinstein, who was known as one of the strongest gun control advocates in the Senate, basically told them to shut it down until after the election. Well the election is over now and we have another shooting. Now what?

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But at least some NRA A-rated Congressmen (Manchin, Warner) are now joining the call for an assault weapons ban ("No hunter I know uses an assault rifle").

Some good comments in the discussion below. Sadly, it is pretty much the same discussion as the one post-Aurora. The pro-gun guy rehashed the same "solution" - armed school staff could have stopped the shooter. But the gun control researcher believes that America is different now. A shot Congresswoman and a shot-up movie theater wasn't enough it seems, but now a pile of slaughtered children may have actually woken the nation up. He predicts this could be the beginning of the end for the NRA, as there is a trend of more NRA-funded politicians losing their elections. Bloomberg has proposed starting a well funded opposing advocacy-lobbying org to directly challenge the NRA. Some gun-owning conservatives (who also want more gun restrictions) called in and they said they are tired of having the NRA be the blanket face and voice of all US gun owners. That is like the Tea Party speaking for all Republicans. Very true. Like how the Tea Party really just represents extreme libertarian pro-business interests, the NRA really just represents the gun industry, and indirectly others who benefit from loose guns, like criminals.

An Australian called in and commented on his nation's ban on many types of guns. He said that Auzzies aren't lamenting their "loss of freedom" to possess certain guns, but instead are thankful that they have the freedom to walk in the street without much fear of getting shot.

http://www.kqed.org/a/forum/R201212170900

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http://www.tnr.com/blog/electionate/111151/could-newtown-change-gun-control-politics#

Cohn makes the argument that the politics of gun control have changed. It used to be that Democrats needed at least some percentage of rural conservative voters in Ohio, Virginia etc to win the presidency - Clinton got them, Gore didn't. But over the last few elections those folks have gone entirely towards Republicans, and Democrats have won anyways. The basic argument is that rural gun-lovers are going to vote Republican no matter what, and they're going to lose. So there's no point trying to pretend you care about them, especially if ignoring them allows you to win over real swing voters who prefer fewer guns and fewer massacres.

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Thx, J. Yeah, the modern Dems seem predisposed to at least try to reassure voters that they respect the 2nd Amendment and don't want to confiscate all types of guns (just as they feel the need to reassure America that they will be tough on terrorism and rein in spending). I guess it's a knee-jerk to demonstrate that they aren't pansy pinkos. But yeah, it seems we are past the days of Kerry getting a photo-op while hunting to woo rural independent voters.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A50527-2004Oct21.html

It seems the Dems can win elections without this segment in their corner, but what about passing meaningful legislation? They may not even be able to keep their own tent in line on this one, much less persuade many Republicans. I can see a lot of the GOP speaking out about gun control (they are probably rightfully outraged and it's also conveniently the political thing to do), but when it comes down to an actual vote, they could cite some technicality to vote no. Though I think a lot of politicians are wary that if they oppose even a toothless, ceremonial gun bill in the wake of Newtown, they would look like heartless bastards with 2014 not far away. Getting 60 senators could be tough, especially since the gun lobby may rightfully realize that this is an existential moment for them and go all-out.

I know I have been contradicting myself regarding how powerful the gun lobby actually is, and how pro-gun Congress actually is, because the truth is I have no idea. Like with health care, the problem with the gun issue is that conservatives always pivot to the personal freedoms, Constitutional rights, and gov't oppression stuff. "No one wants more mass shootings, but having the bloated federal bureaucracy regulating our guns is not the answer. The people and the states can make their own firearms decisions." They justify doing nothing as preventing bad legislation.

It is also possible that we are in the heat of the moment now, but passionate interest in gun control will wane with the holiday shutdown and fiscal cliff looming (not to mention NFL playoffs and Oscars). A massacre of kids is a major downer, and I don't think the MSM will be covering it heavily after Xmas, especially because the "villain" is already dead (no periodic court appearances and criminal profiles like with other shooters). The pro-gun camp may be counting on this, so they are just biding their time until America naturally forgets? Sorry for the cynicism.

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http://ktla.com/2012/12/17/sen-diane-feinstein-to-introduce-gun-control-bill/

http://science.howstuffworks.com/5-most-popular-guns3.htm

Hope it passes, but it's not retroactive. Sadly, the AR-15 is one of the top 5 most popular gun models in the US, if not the most. This is shocking to me considering a base weapon is like $1,000, vs. a  decent hunting rifle, shotgun, or revolver for $300. Also the AR-15 is not exactly compact to transport and store securely, and cleaning it must be a bear. An ATF agent on NPR tonight said that he predicts AR-15 sales to spike this holiday season, even though Lanza used one to massacre kids. There will be worries about a possible ban, it is a very "cool" looking weapon now with more notoriety, and people will justify it by claiming they are owning one to stop any future Lanzas. Some people are taking notice though, as Wal-Mart has now pulled the AR-15 from its website (you can't buy it online but they show you the stores where it's legally available).

After the first assault ban expired in the 2000's, there was a flood of such guns into the country. So even if we put up a new ban now, how do we deal with the many in circulation?

Our ground wars are winding down and it's getting harder to legally arm overseas warlords, so the death dealers need US consumers to pick up the slack.

PS - Wal-mart's role in the US gun culture ("Save money, kill better"): http://www.theatlanticwire.com/national/2012/12/walmart-ar-15-online-store/60077/

You can even put rifles on your wedding registry:

http://www.walmart.com/browse/hunting/guns,-rifles-amp;-ammunition/4125_4155_1088608?search_query=&tab_value=all&ic=60_0&search_sort=3&cat_id=4125_4155_1088608

You'll remember in "Bowling for Columbine" how Moore et al. got K-Mart to stop selling ammo (they didn't sell guns at the time)... no such luck for the world's biggest retailer.

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Yep, anecdotally AR and overall gun sales are spiking now. http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/gun-sales-spike-virginia-colorado-record-highest-background-174415554.html

But some major investors are closing their positions in the (highly profitable) gun industry, such as the CA Teacher's pension fund (understandable) and Cerberus private equity (the owner's father lives in Newtown). Could the gun industry be the new black mark industry like tobacco?

What the foreign press is saying about us after Newtown: http://news.yahoo.com/connecticut-school-massacre-world-sees-us-105500647.html

An interesting discussion of assault weapons: http://www.npr.org/2012/12/20/167694808/assault-style-weapons-in-the-civilian-market

- The guest (Tom Diaz) said that we have made way more significant legal changes, spent way more on research & countermeasures, and fundamentally changed our society (and other societies) in response to terrorism (namely 9/11) than we have for gun-related civilian violence - even though the death toll from terrorism is tiny vs. gun violence. I can understand that terrorist attacks are often large and traumatic vs. the "slow bleed" of (generally unreported in the media) daily gun violence. But mass shootings of kids with military rifles may change perceptions.

- M touched on this already, but the original assault weapons ban wording was so weird with a bunch of irrelevant restrictions on pistol grips, bayonet mounts, etc. Ironically, this helped companies like Bushmaster rise in the 1990's because they redesigned the M-16 into a simplified model that met all the assault weapons ban requirements. So basically you had the same potent weapon that was now legal. Assault rifle designs have been around for decades, so developing nations started to pump out clones at bargain prices. When our ban was lifted in 2004, these cheap weapons started to flood the US and elsewhere.

- There is a recent marketing push in the gun industry to equip US civilians with "military looking" weapons. In some cases, they are the exact same weapon with the same damage potential (e.g. a .50 cal sniper rifle with armor-piercing rounds). Gun makers don't make high margins on military contracts, due to the Pentagon's bargaining power and maybe some legal issues. The civilian market is larger and a lot more lucrative. So gun makers developed a strategy to win military contracts with a low-ball offer, and then their weapon would gain a lot of publicity, prestige, and visibility (movies, ads, video games, news footage, etc.). This would be free marketing and whip up civilian demand for the same model (but with higher markups). Beretta pioneered this trend with the M9 sidearm.

- Most data on gun usage in America looks bad for the gun industry. So they pushed Congress to enact the Tiahrt Amendment (R-KS, NRA stooge) preventing the ATF from using its budget to publish any gun data to the public. Plenty of private orgs research and publish gun studies, but they don't have the deep access and "big data" resources that the ATF does. We could know which gun models were most often used in which type of crimes, smuggling/lethality rates, etc. But this could severely impact sales, so the info is not available to the public.

- Both Clinton and Bush signed executive orders to limit or block the importation of gun models that do not have a "clear sporting purpose." So far Obama has not, but he could with the stroke of a pen. It wouldn't regulate domestic manufacturers, but would still help. 

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Tired of mass shootings

Individuals Generally Support Regulation
The NORC survey further showed that citizens support stricter firearm limits. The vast majority (91%) support making it illegal to use guns while under the influence of alcohol. High percentages (85% and 82%) want limits on the sale of high-powered 50-caliber rifles and semiautomatic assault weapons. Similarly high percentages favor criminal background checks for all gun sales and the requirement of a police permit before a gun can be purchased. Interestingly, three-quarters of respondents believed that terrorist attacks have increased the need for stricter gun control. Compared with the sale of illegal drugs, 54% want illegal gun sales to be punished more severely, while 37% want the punishments for illegal gun sales to be as tough as penalties for selling illegal drugs.
(Marketresearch.com)

The only ones who want less gun control is the NRA and the gun industry - but they are dominating the issue.

http://abcnews.go.com/US/guns-america-statistical/story?id=17939758#.UMgr7HfrWea

Some stats about the industry, most of which is probably familiar if you've seen "Bowling for Columbine". Please don't fwd the attached reports around, but just FYI and for talking points.

I've owned and occasionally enjoyed firearms for about a decade. I don't need it at all, never had to use it for its intended purpose, and it is an expensive hobby. Not sure why I started, maybe like a "manhood" thing or just curiosity. I generally handle it safely, but in the past I have done foolish things where an accident could have happened with people I care about. There were times when my emotional state was not great, and if I had quick access to my firearm, maybe it could have been really bad. It's 99.9% liability, 0.1% asset. This situation makes no sense, so I will look into a gun trade-in program with the police. No point selling the gun and transferring the risk to others. I can't in good conscience criticize the industry and perpetrators of violence when I am like one bad day from becoming a major part of the problem.

There are more gun stores than gas stations, and more guns than people, in America. The industry has yearly sales of about $12B, which puts it about 40th percentile of all US industries (and revenue growth is outpacing GDP). All that is under an "anti-gun, socialist" president. Cars and guns each kill over 10,000 Americans per year, despite "technological improvements" and safety education. In contrast, about 5,000 people died on 9/11 and Katrina combined. But we love our cars and guns, so that's that. Clearly guns are doing their job just fine - why the need to ease rules on expanded magazines, assault rifles, ATF powers, stand-your-ground, etc.?

What does that say about the gun industry that they have to spend so much of their revenue on political lobbying and PR? If you have a good, necessary, and safe product - doesn't it sell itself? Why the need to organize and change the laws to protect your product? Ironic that the most harmful industries seem to have the most lobbyists, political spending, and trade associations (dirty energy, tobacco, guns, gaming, financial svcs., junk food, monopolies, etc.). Uncompetitive and obsolete industries rely on propaganda, cheating, and gov't handouts to survive. At least Solyndra never killed anyone. "War profiteering" is the sickest form of income. They make us fearful about everything, so we buy their weapons to feel better, and god forbid we actually use them on other people (usually not due to self defense).

The pro-gun lobby would argue that they are just protecting their interests and your rights from the onslaught of socialist, un-American gun control. Because a disarmed public is one step away from bondage. We all know that is BS. Yeah, disarmed nations like the UK and Japan and are soooo terrible, and gun-heavy nations like Iraq and Somalia are model states. And if gun control was such a threat, then why is the pro-gun camp outspending them 17:1 in Washington? It's not like the left was "gunning" to outlaw guns since the beginning. The Brady Bill and other regs were written in response to horrific, preventable attacks. So-called gun proponents did nothing in response to tragedies like Columbine. They don't even acknowledge a problem. If you love guns for sport or whatever, and you see that there are lapses where bad people can sully the hobby you love, don't you want to make reforms and protect the sport? Even unresponsive and stubborn Major League Baseball realized that rampant steroid use was tarnishing its rep and hurting the business, so they made changes. It didn't fix the problem 100%, but at least it's improving. The gun lobby is just getting in the way of progress, and some gun fans acknowledge that the NRA is actually bad for the sport.

http://www.republicreport.org/2012/the-anti-gun-control-lobby-spent-17-times-as-much-as-the-pro-gun-control-lobbying-last-year/

The NRA argument just doesn't hold water. Basically they proclaim that owning guns is an American right and even a patriotic duty. But average modern American civilian life is less gun-centric than ever before (i.e. as hunting for food and protecting your homestead from Injuns have declined to almost nil, the gun is mostly relegated to the domain of criminal violence). In a recent survey, only 9% reported that they hunted in the last year. So if they want to hunt, fine. Have your registered long guns stored at a secure gov't depot, and you check them out when you want to use them (after passing a sobriety and police check). Of the greatest Americans that we remember in history (Lincoln, Edison, MLK, etc.), did guns play a big role in making them great? Did those people even care about guns? You know which Americans love guns - mass murderers. I know there are plenty of law-abiding, upstanding gun enthusiasts out there, so let me put it this way: gun affinity is necessary but not sufficient to be a mass murderer, and not necessary at all to be a good American.

On a more practical level, they say guns are necessary to protect yourself, your wealth, and your loved ones from "bad people" - specifically bad people who are armed. So we need to buy guns as protection against gun-toting enemies? At any moment you need to be ready to grab your gun and neutralize a threat (maybe even keep in on your person or in your purse). But NRA-endorsed safe gun ownership requires that you store your gun unloaded with the safety on, and preferably in a gun safe or with a gun lock (more things to buy on top of the ammo, cleaning kit, etc. - a lot of ancillary costs like a car). After the 1-2 minutes to unlock and load it, your child could be kidnapped already. OTOH, if you have your loaded gun ready for action by your bedside, what is to prevent Junior from finding it and bringing it to school (it has happened)?

So guns are both the salvation and the threat, the problem and the solution. It makes no sense. Premeditated rampages aside, most gun owners would admit that people can snap at any moment, and if they are armed it could get ugly (the football player Belcher example recently). But it's never them, it's always other people. Well if everyone thinks like that and shootings still occur, then obviously introspective opinions on gun safety are not entirely accurate. I am sure Belcher never thought of himself as a potential murderer before the day he became one. And he must not have been that bad of a guy when the whole stadium had a tearful moment of silence for him and his victim. I am not proud to say this, but I believe that it could have been me. Amazingly and fortunately, gun murders are relatively rare considering the obscene number of circulating guns and opportunities for random conflict in US society. Maybe that is a testament to our better angels. But it is poor public policy to rely on better angels. Most narcotics and explosives are illegal. In some places gambling and even abortions are basically illegal. We don't have and shouldn't have absolute freedom; there is legal precedent for restrictions to reduce the chance of us harming ourselves and each other when the risk-benefit make sense. Yet guns are available to purchase in virtually every city, in some cases without even a background check or waiting period. I guess we have to chalk that up to the 2nd Amendment, and more recently the NRA.

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Obviously this particular mass shooting is of interest to me because of the Oregon ties, and I have to admit that last place I'd ever expect a shooting like this to happen is in a suburban Portland mall.  I remember the year before I went to college up there they had a school shooting in Springfield, OR, but that area is more rural and redneck-y (stereotypes are fun).  Obviously the similarities are an (apparently) disturbed individual with access to weapons.  

The only thing I can really comment on was the TV coverage of this incident.  I flipped to CNN, expecting wall-to-wall coverage of the event and was a tad disappointed with the sense that these types of incidents are becoming blase to reporters.  Fox News didn't cover the event AT ALL, they had Bill O'Reilly on yelling at some people.  I guess that's not surprising.  Is the new normal that these disturbing shootings are just going to happen every 3 months, and unless more than 10 people die there's scant amount of coverage?  Even right now on CNN.com, the front headline is "GLOBE GOES GAGA FOR 12/12/12" while the Oregon shooting is crammed off to the side of the page.  Who the F cares about 12/12/12.  

T, I appreciate your point that NRA people say guns are necessary to protect themselves and their wealth from bad people.  But it's funny... the real bad people we should all be worried about are bankers and financial institution pulling strings behind the scenes that affect the livelihood and health of our economy.  No gun could stop them. 

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Well a gun could stop them, but who wants to get lethal injection for knocking off Blankfein (who will just be replaced by a nastier guy)? :) Dang I am on the watch list for sure now. But it sends the wrong message that powerful bad people can only be defeated by violence. Maybe that was true during the European revolutions, but it is inspiring that blacks, Mexicans, women, and gays in America won more rights without having to kill any of their oppressors (though plenty of them were killed). It can happen on rare occasions at least, and is a testament to the good parts of our political system. 

Yeah I hope Daily Show at least shames the MSM for their lack of coverage on this. My theory is that since it happened a a suburban mall in a city known for nice people during Xmastime, it would scare away a lot of holiday shoppers nationwide (or maybe inspire copycats). And the corporate-media complex definitely doesn't want that. But aren't people killed like every year due to Xmas shopping stampedes, fights over parking spots, etc.? That is an issue for another day.

As you said, these occasional shootings are the "price" that the gun lobby and Washington have decided that the public should pay for our "freedom to bear arms" (and their freedom to make $$$ off us). I don't think the CEO of Smith & Wesson and some redneck senator from GA should be allowed to make that call for everyone though. It will only change when someone of import or their loved ones are randomly killed by a deranged shooter who should not have been able to own a gun. But even Giffords didn't move the needle. After Columbine, public support for more gun control hit an all-time high, but the NRA weathered the storm and the public eventually forgot (as we always do). Now in the post-9/11 & great recession eras, there is no hope.

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Do you all feel that more coverage is the right answer?  I feel at this point it is local news and a blurb on the national level.  What benefit can there be with nonstop coverage?
Secondly, is access to guns really necessary for large scale killing?  Aren't these mass shootings generally organized and planned?  Guns may be easier to get but the barrier to entry for a home cooked pipe bomb isn't terribly high.  Napalm, poison gas, all relatively simple to make from household products and Google.  What about a knife and some pepper spray with a gas mask?  I have a hard time believing these things would stop happening with more gun laws.  that was stuff I came up with in 30 seconds.  Imagine months of thought.


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I thought the coverage over the CO shooting was fairly substantial. Maybe because it occurred near Littleton, and the shooter was such an "interesting" character. It was also noteworthy that he was so heavily armed, much more than past shooters. More news coverage is not the "fix" to this problem, but more awareness and outrage is better than ignoring it.

I agree with M's comments that now we are desensitized to these kind of shootings and they aren't even shocking anymore (to some). I don't want the US to be like Baghdad or Juarez where the people are used to beheadded bodies showing up in a ditch every week. And more guns is not the answer to fix that. I think the scary part is that these shootings are "random-premeditated" and lack the traditional crime-of-passion profile. What I mean is that the shooter carefully planned to lash out at society over some grievance, but attacked random innocents rather than people who directly hurt him. How can you stop someone like that? I guess you can look for mental "warning signs" (there was much discussion of this after VA Tech and the cinema shooter), or you can do the easier and more effective thing - curtail access to guns. Every society has violent sociopaths and otherwise good people who get angry and do something they regret in the heat of the moment. You can't stop that from happening, but at least reduce the chance that those people can do major harm to others.

To address M2's comments: yes there is plenty of knowledge on the internet on how to harm others - either bombs or kung fu or whatever. But those take some effort to master and execute. Guns are the easy solution for mass violence. Based on US history, guns are a prerequisite for mass killings. There are notable exceptions like OK City and 9/11, but those were perpetrated by "professional" terrorists. With a $300 gun bought at Big 5, any Joe who poses no threat to anyone can instantly become Rambo. That is the problem. I guarantee that if guns were outlawed tomorrow, violent crime would plummet. In general, violent crime stats have been going down in the US since the 1990's, but the % of those crimes involving a gun has not declined and may even have risen. I think there are fewer gun murders per year combined in GER, FRA, and UK than Oakland. What's the difference? There are far fewer guns and no NRA/2nd Amendment in Europe.

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What is worse?

(a) A sick, pathetic man who fantasizes about harming innocents

(b) A sane, rational, powerful man who enables said sick man to actually carry out his fantasies, due to his own negligence, obsolete ideology, and/or the profit motive

Men in category (b) often lay 100% of the blame for tragedies on men of category (a) without ever considering their own involvement. I guess this issue relates to the free speech vs. Muslim violence topic we discussed before. How do you divide up blame between those who exercise their "freedoms" by provoking/enabling others to commit violence, and the actual physical perpetrators of the violence (who probably wouldn't have harmed anyone if those freedoms were exercised and regulated more responsibly)?

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Someone on Twitter said they need to rephrase "gun control" to "massacre prevention."

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Very good comment. Let's stop the NRA from framing this really simple issue only on their fallacious terms.

I would encourage everyone to write their elected officials and protest. Let them fear us more than the gun lobby. Of course I doubt anything much will change, because if our leaders were the type to care more about public good than political survival, then we wouldn't even need to have this discussion. 

But here is my attempt:

Dear X,

Stop being a coward and start showing leadership. 10,000 Americans die each year from gunfire, and there has been one major shooting tragedy after another on the news. I am fed up. We are not talking about an absolute ban here (though it seems to work fine in many other nations), but there should be more scrutiny as to who can own guns, and how they should be legally used and monitored. It shouldn't be easier than getting a driver's license or a bank loan.

You are in office to protect the people, not to care about the antiquated platform of an extremist lobby and how it might affect your party's political prospects. The majority of surveyed citizens want more gun control, or as some would put it, "massacre prevention." But Washington politics is more pro-gun now than the Columbine days. Even the shooting of one of your own, Rep. Giffords, did nothing to move the debate.

Do something about it, or we'll replace you with someone who will. Only Mayor Bloomberg had the guts to speak out against guns. Will you join him, along with millions of victims' loved ones and concerned Americans? Because if you don't, then the blood of more innocent children (outrageously sacrificed on the altar of corporate greed and petty politics) will be on your hands.

 
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I thought this was interesting, although I can't verify if it's all totally legit or not.

http://gunvictimsaction.org/fact-sheet/fact-sheet-illegal-gun-trafficking-arms-criminals-and-youth/
One thing I would like to point about the gun control issue is that most crimes are committed with illegally obtained guns, as the above link mentions. From the Freakonomics book, they did some research and found that gun control in general, gun buybacks, stricter laws, etc.don't have much of an effect on gun ownership because illegal guns are obtained so easily anyway, at least here in America. In other words, gun control has little to no effect on obtaining illegal guns, at least according to Freakonomics.

To be clear, I'm not expressing any sort of stance on gun control laws other than to say gun control's lack of effect on reducing gun ownership. Much like the drug war and prohibition when a LOT of people want something, they can find a way to get it one way or another. If you're looking to seriously reduce gun ownership I think one would should look at anti-tobacco campaigns. It's an useful comparison, as less people smoke than ever and yet, a whole lot of people still smoke. We're at a point in our culture that gun ownership is ingrained and it would take several generations of increasingly stronger social taboos (much like smoking) to even make a dent in the percentage. It makes me wonder if it would be more effective to try to prevent people from shooting up public places to begin with, whatever those reasons may be.

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Agreed. The pro-war people got so upset when all those white crosses were put up by Lafayette BART to remind us of the war dead. Why get mad at the protesters - they didn't send our troops overseas to die? We care more about unborn fetuses in this country than victims of violence.

Gun control DOES work, and there are literally dozens of examples in the world. America's patchwork, corrupt, and stupid gun control system is terrible, so we can't use that track record to totally dismiss the relationship between gun control and gun violence. Remember the GOP strategy: they want less gov't, so they have incentive to make gov't appear as corrupt and ineffective as possible, so voters will side with their views. Pro-gun forces want gun control to look as wrong, stupid, and counter-productive as possible, so that it may encourage people to oppose gun control. That is probably why the right has made so much out of "Fast and Furious" when it is really not a big deal (definitely not as bad as Iran Contra). Pro-gun politicians have handcuffed the ATF and made the laws so ridiculous that gun control is almost guaranteed to fail. But that doesn't mean it has to.

The article is right that the NRA has blocked the ATF and other law enf. from better tracking guns and sellers. Why? What do honest sellers have to fear? That isn't stopping our right to form regulated militias. It has nothing to do with gun rights, but it would impact gun sales. That is another problem for them. The gun industry doesn't really care who buys its products (African warlords, Mexican cartels, unstable people, etc.). So they are actually fighting law enf. and making our society (and the world) less safe because they want to sell to bad customers as well as lawful ones. I know there is the argument that "If people really want to get something, they'll find a way to get it." But criminals in Western Europe definitely want guns, and most still can't get them. And guns are not like drugs and booze. Prohibition was stupid (one of many reasons) because it erroneously assumed booze was the primary driver of social decay and undesirable behaviors. So they thought the cost-benefit of outlawing booze would be worth it. But with guns, they ARE the primary driver of gun violence, obviously. So in that case, prohibition or more regulation should produce better results. Some may argue that criminality, anger, and other human social forces are the main causes of violence, not guns themselves. Maybe so, but as we already discussed, humans are always going to be angry and violent at times. We probably can't 100% exorcise that from any society. But when we get crazy and mad and violent, at least we shouldn't have access to WMDs. Knifings and hit-and-runs may spike without guns, but fewer people would die. It's really not that complicated.

I agree with you that better socialization and education will help de-emphasize the gun in American culture. But already we see a difference. As that market research pdf I sent out showed, if you live in higher income, urban, educated areas, you are less likely to own a gun. It's just not a part of your lifestyle, so you probably are less opposed to gun control. But then again, the majority of mass shooters in the US have been somewhat educated, suburban, non-poor people. We tax what we want to discourage, right? Maybe it shouldn't be so cheap to buy body armor and assault rifles. I mean, those are expensive already, but quite affordable for the middle class. Tax guns, ammo, etc. 100% and I'm pretty sure violence would decrease. Use that money to fund education, counseling, and violence prevention programs. As you said, follow the smoking example.

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In general I think we could do with more and better gun control, and obviously these mass killings are tragic. But I worry about my own ability to be objective given that I'm not really a member of the culture around guns. That is, guns and gun ownership are a stereotypical red-state activity, and San Francisco is about as opposite-end from that as can be.

So let me play devil's advocate with this problem I've been thinking about: Why should alcohol be legal in the US?

Firearm homicides totaled 11,493 in 2009 (http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/homicide.htm). Drunk driving fatalities totaled 10,228 in 2010 (http://www.cdc.gov/motorvehiclesafety/impaired_driving/impaired-drv_factsheet.html). Obviously drunk-driving fatalities include both the drunk driver and the bystanders, but the overall fatality figures are roughly the same order of magnitude.

Both firearms and alcohol have recreational uses. Firearm recreation tends to be red-state only, while alcohol recreation cuts across cultural lines, but they both have that component.

Firearms have uses as tools, for protection (from wild animals, criminals, tyrannical governments, etc). Alcohol's use as a tool … social lubricant?

So why should firearms be illegal, but alcohol should not? My immediate, emotional reaction is "well guns are bad, and I like alcohol, so … obviously." That's the difficulty being objective about firearms vs alcohol.

I think the proper reason has to do with preserving the state's monopoly on violence. That is, guns undermine the rule of law by enabling a coercive strategy outside the law. If criminals have guns, they can be more effective at enforcing and sustaining their criminal culture outside of the rule of law. On the public safety side (deaths vs legitimate uses), I think we should draw the line in favor of more liberty, such that we'd allow both guns and alcohol (ignoring the rule-of-law effects of guns).
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Thanks, J. You are right, guns kill about 10K Americans per year. I said 50K in my OP, but that was over 2006-2010. Apologies.

For alcohol, of course there are more ways to die from it than car accidents, but I get your point. Culture aside and just thinking about policy here, I would say this:

From a personal freedoms and American values standpoint, I think we should allow some guns and booze in society. But not all forms and under all circumstances, obviously. Alcohol is not freely available. You have to be a certain age, the alcohol has to be inspected by gov. agencies, the seller has to have a license, and in some states you can't buy on Sunday or if the alc% is too high. All that makes some sense (to some people) and doesn't really preclude most consumers from using alcohol for its intended purposes and deriving some happiness from it. Not all users approve of all the current laws, but you can't please everyone. The goal is to maximize social utility without harming minorities too much, and accommodating some minorities if it doesn't cost overall society too much.

For guns, even the NRA would probably agree that private citizens should not be allowed to own and use depleted uranium rounds and anti-aircraft cannons. So some "reasonable" limitations on personal firearms makes sense, especially in the interests of public safety. You can't practice medicine without a license, you can't even be a sleazy realtor without passing some exam. So why in many red states can you buy and use a gun just by signing on a dotted line (even signing a false name)? You just need to pay some fee to get a "hunting license" - you don't even need to demonstrate basic knowledge and skills. It is reasonable to enforce background checks, cooling-off periods, mandatory regular training and certification, magazine size limits, concealment regs, etc. Many gun users will still be able to use guns for their intended purposes, and derive some pleasure from it. Some will be disappointed, but their sacrifice is probably worth more people being alive and un-maimed.

These regs may help reduce gun accidents, but I am not sure how to really stop murders. Maybe if we change the framing of the gun in society. Now it seen as a sign of being badass, how to settle scores, power, revenge, to get noticed, take what you want, etc. That is really bad. As you said, we can't condone violence as a means of resolving disputes (but as Michael Moore's film suggested - what message are we sending when our gov't uses violence to get what it wants overseas?). Of course guns are also seen as protection, deterrent, sporting equipment, etc. Maybe if people perceive them more from a risk and caution angle (what could happen if misused), we wouldn't be so cavalier about them (same with cars and booze). Some think of alcohol for the taste, for social lubrication, etc. Others think of it as a means to get crazy and date-rape women. Most products can be used for good and bad, and we can't really control how they are used once they leave the store. So all we have are social norms and expectations of behavior. Also, people think of sports cars differently than minivans. People think of assault rifles and hi-cap magazines in only a few ways, and they're generally detrimental to society. So outlaw or heavily restrict them. People think about .22 rifles and .38 revolvers much differently. Any of those weapons can bag a deer or stop a home intruder. But some are much more likely to be used in a school mass shooting.