Showing posts with label pbs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label pbs. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

States that are failing their residents

Ohio has a 96% passing rate on its state reading test, but matriculates students whose reading skills are worse than 75% of the nation's kids.

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/ohios-third-grade-reading-test-miss-goal/
South Carolina leads the country in domestic abuse, often reinforced by religious mysoginy and lack of public services for victims.

http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2015/04/20/401030909/post-and-courier-of-charleston-s-c-wins-pulitzer-for-public-service

Sunday, April 20, 2014

Michael Lewis' new book "Flash Boys" about high-frequency traders



We've discussed some of these issues before, and I think this "60 Minutes" story covers it pretty well. One difference here is it's not the typical Wall St. story of Madoff-like wolves swindling us clueless Muppets. Now the mega fund managers and i-banks are getting fleeced just like the small-time retail investor. But it's a death of a thousand cuts; tiny skims on the margins (adding up to billions in profits) that may have never been detected if it's wasn't for a diligent trader at RBC (Brad Katsuyama).

Maybe the big fish are especially concerned here because of the potential volatility that high-frequency traders could be introducing into the markets. That is why Goldman, Schwab, and others have endorsed and/or started to trade on Katsuyama's new IEX - an alternative equities exchange build with technological safeguards to prevent HFT skimming/front-running.

Also the similar PBS story for those who prefer public media: http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/high-frequency-traders-anticipate-wall-street-faster/

For our buy-and-hold retirement savings, probably many of us invest in index funds. It's bad enough that our 401(k) administrators are blasting us with maddening fees, but the HFTs are taking a piece of our earnings too. From Wiki:

Most retirement savings, such as private pension funds or 401(k) and individual retirement accounts in the US, are invested in mutual funds, the most popular of which are index funds which must periodically "rebalance" or adjust their portfolio to match the new prices and market capitalization of the underlying securities in the stock or other index that they track.[31][32] This allows trading algorithms to anticipate and trade ahead of stock price movements caused by mutual fund rebalancing, making a profit on advance knowledge of the large institutional block orders.[18][33] This results in profits transferred from investors to algorithmic traders, estimated to be at least 21 to 28 basis points annually for S&P 500 index funds, and at least 38 to 77 basis points per year for Russell 2000 funds.[19] John Montgomery of Bridgeway Capital Management says that the resulting "poor investor returns" from trading ahead of mutual funds is "the elephant in the room" that "shockingly, people are not talking about."[20]

Saturday, June 22, 2013

Scientific studies suggest money makes you an a-hole

First, they conducted a simple observation of pedestrian and driver behavior at an intersection. They found that 90% of drivers do yield for pedestrians (as law and safety demands), but of those who blew through, a significantly higher % of those vehicles were classified as "luxury". Also luxury cars cut off other drivers at a higher rate. A lot of things could be potentially wrong with such a study, but the result seems logical - spending a lot on a car with attached marketing messages like: you have arrived, you are Mr. Badass, you deserve it, you're better - may motivate the driver to feel that he/she (mostly he probably) doesn't have to stop for "peasants" and is entitled to get to the destination unhindered. Or maybe their social environment is very status conscious and competitive, so driving is also an opportunity to demonstrate their perceived superiority, or they may feel the need to drive like a jerk to fit the mold of success (even if they actually want to drive more politely). Of course this doesn't apply to all luxury drivers, and there are plenty of jerks driving clunkers.

You know how politicians take candy from babies? Rich people do too, literally. Controlling for various other attributes, they had participants fill out a phony form in a private room. There was a small jar of candy on the table, which they were told was for kids for the next study later in the day, but they could have some if they wanted. Participants labeled as "rich" (maybe above some cutoff for self-identified household income, reference their PNAS paper for details) took 2X more candy than non-rich. Even though they were permitted to, typical conscientious thinking might be: I can buy my own candy later, the kids will enjoy it more, I don't want to look like a pig, etc. to motivate them to refrain. But maybe rich people are used to getting better service and favors from others (with less regard for sharing & limits), so they are conditioned to take when offered without considering others.

You have probably heard about studies that show CEOs are more likely to cheat on games (even with no rewards) by self-reporting higher scores (with no outside verification). The same applies to rich people. In a computer-simulated die toss game, the richer participants in their study were more likely to cheat and report scores that were mathematically possible, but actually impossible due to the hidden logic of the sim. The narrative seems reasonable: rich people are competitive and may lie to increase their chances of winning if they can get away with it. Their personal payoffs for winning unethically outweigh the possible consequences of getting caught, and that calculus may not apply as much to the sub-rich, where consequences dominate (jail, getting fired, etc.).

Lastly, what happens when non-rich people "feel rich" and vice versa? The researchers had people play a rigged game of Monopoly, where a randomly decided player (of various personal wealth levels) got to be Goldman Sachs (more starting $, more die rolls, got to have the car playing piece). It was about mathematically impossible to lose from that position. During the game, the Goldman player tended to exhibit more bossy, dominant behaviors. When asked how they felt about the game results, the Goldman player was more likely to take personal credit for their success rather than acknowledge their randomly-assigned advantages. We know that manifests itself in real life, as from our previous discussions, the rich may feel OK with tax evasion because they feel they already paid enough, and they deserve to keep more of it due to their cunning/superiority. Conversely in the Monopoly game, those in the position of the disadvantaged player tended to exhibit more compassionate, gracious behavior (despite their actual social class).

Extrapolating these results out to the real world, I suppose we shouldn't be surprised when the most rich and powerful among us behave badly and are caught in greed/ethics scandals. And for the rich who behave well and can still be generous to others (like Buffet), they have particularly impressive discipline and caring, especially considering the temptations, lack of accountability, and pernicious culture of their elite social class. I doubt many rich people read the PNAS journal, but the authors caught hell after their paper was published. I think it's pretty hard to be totally uncaring (sociopathic), so deep down even the biggest rich jerks probably realize they are doing wrong, but as I said their incentive structure compels them to knowingly do wrong. They don't like being reminded they are being bad, so of course they lash out or make excuses. And it's no help that our tax-legal system heavily favors the rich and is chock full of loopholes. They use it as a cop out. My business ethics prof said something like, "Legal does not guarantee ethical. If you measure your actions by the law alone, you're in trouble."

But maybe all this stems from our society's value system. Money is the literal currency and also social currency for status (which gives you access to pretty spouses, creature comforts, fame, and other perks). We don't celebrate the kindest or meekest or most generous among us. We celebrate the richest, biggest jerks who take what they want and don't care about anyone else. In fact we suck up to, idealize, and emulate them - even post Recession. I am fairly sure such phenomena would not occur in cultures where materialism, egotism, and such are not as valued, like Amazonian tribes or Tibet before China's ethnic cleansing. This comes back to the "selfish gene" argument. The animal side of us needs to be selfish and dominant to propagate our genes. But we are social beings too; if we are too sociopathic, then we will alienate ourselves, which may imperil our progeny. So kindness in a sense is a form of selfishness, but I think too much kindness is a better problem to have than too much greed.

The rich are just doing what their culture enables and compels them to do. Maybe the fault lies with the 99%. The rich are always outnumbered. Starving, abused peasants burned and hung the rich when they went too far in Europe and Cuba. We just take it in America, because our goal is not to have a more just society of "liberty, equality, fraternity", but to join the ranks of the rich one day and lord over the 99%. So that is the problem. We don't fight inequality and abuse because we are totally fine with such an unjust system, as long as we eventually get to the top. But obviously that is a pipe dream for the vast majority of us. But that is the evil genius of the system, it traps us in our own unrealistic ambitions and hopes. Maybe the "new" American Dream (where the goal is to be the man, not just middle class) is actually bondage rather than emancipation. It tells us if we commit ourselves 100% to our careers (work almost to death), comfort, fun, wealth, status, and all that can be ours. But that won't happen for everyone, even if all they do is work. And all that effort in vain actually serves to make the execs and investors (who have already made it) richer. Talk about a scam.

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I always wonder what is really being measured in these studies.  Is the car really correlated to wealth or spending?  If i CAN buy a luxury car but don't am i less likely to be an A-hole? 
And who cheats at games with no reward or really cheat at all?

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Re: luxury cars, of course not all purchasers are actually rich, and as you said, plenty of rich don't feel the need to buy them. It's maybe a self-selection phenomenon. The ones who drive them are more likely bought into the image message, and therefore may be predisposed to act like a "typical BMW driver."
Re: cheating, we've all used cheat codes in video games right? No actual reward there, but it's an easy way to progress in the game and enjoy the winning feeling. I suppose if there are no consequences (the comp won't refuse to play with you next time), why not? The people who don't cheat may feel that cheating only hurts them, so they're rather face the challenges and push themselves to master the game and win properly.

Sorry I forgot to add in the OP, by no means am I saying that armed revolt is the only way to make things better. We just have to hold bad behavior to account, and change the incentive calculus. We have to make it so costly to behave badly that even jerks will have no choice but be civilized (whether insider trading or not yielding for pedestrians). Criminal penalties may be a start, but the rich control the legal-judicial process. We could also stop idolizing rich jerks, and instead celebrate the ones who "do it right". Here's a crazy idea: why don't we idolize the folks in the Apple commercial instead of the folks that run Apple? And please let's stop emulating Kardashian, Zuck, etc. And when we see bad behavior on the streets (by rich or otherwise), we should call them out on it. Maybe they are beyond reproach, but at least others will take notice that such conduct is detrimental and won't just be blanket condoned. Racism, sexism, xenophobia, and homophobia used to be tolerated (and even encouraged) in US society. But gradually we used education and alternative role models to shame those ideas to the margins and private thoughts. We can do the same for "richism" too, but it's a bigger challenge because it's more pervasive. But we have little choice. Imagine if our society was actually 99% rich instead? What a horrible place to live!

Even worse... crazy rich Asians!!! http://www.amazon.com/Crazy-Rich-Asians-Kevin-Kwan/dp/0385536976

Saturday, September 15, 2012

Moyers interviews Sanders on Obama

http://billmoyers.com/episode/full-show-challenging-power-changing-politics/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+moyers+%28Moyers+%26+Company%29&utm_content=FeedBurner

Sanders brought up a good point: with Romney-Ryan showing their hand and betting the farm on the Ryan budget that aims to severely cut popular entitlements (and many conservatives have acknowlegded this liability too), why hasn't Obama come out more vociferously on the issue and slammed them for it? Does that mean that Obama would also consider cutting SocSec or Medicare if needing to compromise with the GOP in his 2nd term? Obama could win the election right now with a statement along the lines of (and I hope he busts it out before it's too late):

My fellow Americans,

You have worked hard and played by the rules your whole life. Your parents and friends had a fair shot at the American Dream and many of them achieved it, but you're trying just as hard (if not harder), and haven't seen the same results. There are many reasons for this, and most are not my fault as some would allege. America means more than just markets and profit. We want a life, not just a paycheck. I love serving the American people in my job, but trust me I can think of better things to do that working late on national problems every night. That is what Social Security and Medicare are for, to reward you for your decades of hard work, for your decades of being good Americans, so you can have the most precious thing in your old age - health and peace of mind. And for those who aren't seniors yet, you also get the peace in mind that your loved ones will be supported, and you will too when the time comes. It's a promise, and some promises must be kept - even in Washington.

Social Security is not a pie-in-the-sky dream, but a basic right of civilized, free, democratic people. Some conservatives believed and supported this over the years, but the Republican Party has never acted on it at the highest levels. It was brought to you by Democrats, during some of the most challenging economic times - times not so different from today. Great Americans like LBJ, FDR, and many others were working for you, not the fat cats. I know the modern Democratic party has sadly chosen to pander to big money too (but remember that I and my party opposed Citizens United), but in my 2nd term I hope to remind us of our roots. Big businesses and the rich, who will want for nothing in their golden years, don't want to pay their fair share of taxes so that just-as-worthy other Americans can have a comfortable retirement too. I got mine, so forget the rest of you. Pensions are getting slashed, the retirement age is getting higher, and it will all get worse under a Romney-Ryan America. Yes there is some waste and abuse associated with retirement benefits, but I would rather have an imperfect system than no system at all, where everyone is on their own. That is the Romney-Ryan vision of America my friends.

So hear me now, every hard-working American concerned about his or her future and the country they love. Your labor not only goes to feeding your loved ones, but seniors all over America whom you've never met - and they are so thankful for it. Those old folks supported others in their younger days, and now they are getting taken care of by you. We honor our commitments, that is how a society works. That is how America should work, instead of every billionaire for himself. So this is my promise to you, my fellow Americans. If you give me the great honor and privilege of a 2nd term, I will improve - not gut - Social Security to make it viable for at least 75 years, so that you can be 100% assured to have it when the time comes. You did your part, now your leaders must do theirs. Make no mistake we should and will cut the deficit smartly, but not at your expense. I won't rob the Social Security trust to give tax breaks to the super-rich, as Romney-Ryan and many in the GOP Caucus plan to. That is a BETRAYAL. I do not, and Democrats do not, punish people for doing the right thing. So vote with your conscience, and let's do the right thing together. Thank you and God bless.


Hey Barack - I will write your speeches for $20/hour plus US gov't retirement (of course)!

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1 - Of course Obama will consider cutting Social Security and Medicare to compromise with the GOP. He's already proposed that as part of his "grand bargain" with Boehner and Cantor in summer 2011. This is the hilarity of all those asshat DC centrist column-writers who claim to want a centrist politician to come to a compromise to cut SS and Medicare in exchange for tax hikes: that politician exists, he's currently President, and they're still looking.

2 - Campaign finance realities prevent Obama from echoing FDR's "I'm hostile to the rich, they hate me, and I welcome their hatred." If you're mean to the rich they don't give your campaign money, and you don't get elected. Campaign finance really is the root of all our political evils.

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Agreed, thanks J. I was more suggesting that Obama hasn't fully capitalized on the SocSec issue, even if the data suggest he won't be the ideal protector of that program. So for the GOP to make their stand (for a campaign that is nearly devoid of substance, I'll give them credit for being this ballsy), and Obama not exploit it, is inexplicable to me. Maybe he's saving it for the debates, but I think it will work better on the trail or even in TV ads. Even if Obama may cut entitlements later, he probably will do less damage than Romney-Ryan. So for the binary choice (ignoring the possibility of voting boycott for now), Obama is the SocSec champion as far as many people are concerned. Plus the revenues gained from the grand bargain may go to some other social good. So I'm just saying he should run with that, and it will probably lead to a win for him considering the current campaign environment.

From FDR's famous "welcome their hatred" speech: about 3/4 of Republicans voted for the SocSec act in 1935. But in the 1936 campaign, the GOP leaders in Congress tried to use that issue (along with the passage of unemployment insurance, anti-monopoly reforms, Glass-Steagall, etc.) to show that FDR was an anti-business pinko. It didn't work then, and shouldn't work now even if Obama is clearly not FDR.

http://millercenter.org/scripps/archive/speeches/detail/3307