Showing posts with label care. Show all posts
Showing posts with label care. Show all posts

Friday, September 18, 2009

Health Care


http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=112687935

I'm overseas and missed Obama's speech, but I was surprised to see the "You lie!" outburst on CNN this morning. The look on Pelosi's face was priceless - she would make a good boarding school headmistress if she ever tires of being 3rd in line to the presidency. Do you think much of America watched the speech and could be swayed, or are their minds mostly made up? Well, maybe it was mostly meant as a jolt for Congress and rebutting right-wing media's attacks.

Plus that Rep. got worked up over something so ridiculous. Although it would be humane to give some medical assistance to illegals, even if they don't want to, the costs of minimally covering that population are miniscule in the grand scale of the reform plan ($880B over 10 years at least).

I wish Obama would just come out and say, "Why are you imagining all these evil motives for our health reform? Do you think I ran for president so I could institute death panels and put insurance companies out of business? Believe it or not, we actually want to make your lives better and our country stronger, and health reform is an integral part of that. I understand that people can be distrustful of expanding government and new regulations, but at least be equally skeptical to my opponents like right-wing media and the insurance and medical lobbies. What about their ulterior motives and conspiracy theories? Maybe then you'll see I'm not so bad."

But again, Obama seems to be light on details in his big speeches. He spent a lot of time reassuring America about the things his health plan won't do. I know the bill is enormous and many details have yet to be ironed out, but at least give us a 30-second overview of how the plan will make us better. The Dems say 80% of the legislation is worked out; ok so tell us then. Unfortunately I think a lot of America still doesn't understand what he is trying to do (most Americans don't even understand what health coverage they have, nor how the industry works at present), so of course the fear-mongers fill that vacuum with a lot of rubbish.

And unfortunately I think Obama still wants to hide some of the costs of his plan from us, so as to avoid more lost support. But sooner or later he has to level with us that any meaningful health reform will cost something. We won't get by just by trimming waste and taxing the rich more. To cover more people, we will have to spend more, and to reduce per-capita costs, then we'll have to reduce some services. The CBO concluded that Obama's numbers are wishful thinking, and a zero-debt health reform is either impossible or insignificant. But those sacrifices could reap huge rewards, since so much social and economic productivity is lost due to complications from uninsured sick people and unequal employer-based insurance. Plus we could theoretically recoup some funds by capping malpractice settlements which would lower premiums (not so popular with the Dems) and taxing health-poor products, such as fatty junk foods and alcohol, to promote healthier living as we've already done for cigarettes (wishful thinking though).

I don't think it's realistic for Americans to expect that their health coverage (or any service in fact) to be immune to change with the times. Maybe some of us have "great coverage" now or in the past, but in the future we won't, or we'll have to pay ridiculous sums for it. The nature of group coverage and health policy is communal, so unless we're super-rich, we can't hope to remain on our individual islands, detached from the less fortunate among us, enjoying access to all the best treatments. Maybe our taxes will have to go up slightly, and maybe Medicare benefits will decrease a bit. Call it "socialist" and "rationing" if you want, but what do you think your HMO is doing to you now? The healthy pay for the sick. Try getting an MRI for a bruised knee, or an exotic, expensive drug when generic alternatives are available, and see how accommodating they are. And they have the luxury of denying service to cost-negative individuals, which Medicare of course can't do. Obama wants to cover the uninsured and hold insurers/medical providers accountable to provide more bang for the buck. How can that be bad for America? The Dems have to do a better job clarifying the issue. Of couse if Obama's plan calls for too many sacrifices in order to cover the uninsured, then it doesn't make sense (except morally). If that price is too high to pay, then we can stick with the feudal health care system we currently have.

Sunday, August 16, 2009

Health care overhaul


1) The compensation that the White House negotiated with Big Pharma ($80B in cost savings over a decade) may not be actual savings for us at all:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/08/13/internal-memo-confirms-bi_n_258285.html

A memo leaked describing a deal that if the Pharmaceutical Researchers and Manufacturers Association (PhRMA) made $80B in concessions over 10 years for Medicare drug reimbursements, Uncle Sam won't try to drive a harder bargain for future drug prices, won't import cheaper Canadian drugs, and won't move some drugs from Medicare Part B to Part D (thereby reducing reimbursements). But wasn't the whole point to save patients and the government money on exorbitant drug costs? Obviously an industry trade group wouldn't agree to a cost restructuring deal unless it benefited them in the long run. While they may have to give up $80B now to help make Obamacare appear to be paid for, that is a drop in the bucket considering the windfall sales they will reap as the pill-popping Baby Boomers get older. Just for perspective, the 2 biggest pharmas in terms of revenue are Novartis and Pfizer, who combined cleared $100B in revenue in just a single year, 2008. When the memo first broke, both the White House and PhRMA denied it's authenticity, but later probes by the LA and NY Times quoted administration officials confirming that such a deal occurred. Some in Congress were irate that the White House would cut a secret deal without their involvement, and wanted to tighten the screws on Big Pharma to get more for the taxpayers. Not surprisingly, the White House opposed them and said that generous PhRMA has promised enough. Well, according to OpenSecrets, Obama received over $19M in campaign contributions from the health care sector (over double what McCain got, despite Obama having tougher rhetoric on health care reform and reducing drug prices), of which pharma is a big chunk.

2) Is the "outrage" at health care town halls actually a manifestation of blue collar white America lashing out at their impotence in a changing American cultural and economic landscape?

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=111922780&ft=1&f=2
http://www.theroot.com/views/birthers-and-jim-crow-20

And of course right-wing radio and the GOP (the stupid wing of the GOP led by Palin at least) are stoking the fires, claiming ridiculous things like Obama's reforms are actually reparations in disguise, Obama is not actually a US citizen (everyone knows he's secretly a Muslim of course), and you and your relatives may have to justify their existence to "death panels" that determine whether you deserve to receive medical care - if the Dems get what they want. And moderate Republican Congressmen are scared stiff of angering the demagogues and populist mob if they make health care reform concessions too. I guess poor white America doesn't feel like America is theirs anymore (as if it ever was), and their "values" are being trampled on with change after change for the worse. What is their place in this unstable, changing world? I am sure current events are scaring college-educated, connected people like us, so one can only imagine how the anger and frustration is boiling over in the Rust Belt or Appalachians. Immigration, gay marriage, bailouts, soft power foreign policy, reforms, climate change, and such fly in the face of what they want America to be - even though the fantasy America they envision for themselves where everyone is free to prosper, no big government meddling in your life, and we are never wrong, has never and will never exist.

One of the Dems major political weaknesses since the Bush years is an inability to reach rural, white, lower income voters (the Dixiecrat voters and such from the JFK/LBJ years that they took for granted). They have tried with outreach by humble-roots white politicians like Biden and Webb, but haven't really had much success. Obama's white support mostly came from educated and higher-income people (UC System, Stanford, Harvard, and Columbia were all top-20 donors to his campaign). It's sad and ironic, because many of the Dems' social initiatives would really benefit poor whites, but conservative media and dogma have persuaded those people to hate the Dems who they think are selling this country down the river. And yet the GOP policies of deregulation, deficit spending, and low taxes contributed to their jobs being outsourced, cost of living rising well ahead of wages, and defaulting on their ARM. Remember the Howard Dean comment that his party has to connect with the voters who drive pickups with the Confederate flag bumper stickers? He got a lot of heat for that (especially from his rivals like Southerner John Edwards), and maybe it cost him the Dem nomination, but his underlying argument was sound, if very awkwardly worded. Though Obama and the Dems seem more scared to tackle the poor white issue than the black-white issue. If the Dems can successfully reach out to that demographic (I highly doubt it after so many years and a widening political gulf), then they would deplete the GOP to what it really is - a party for extremist Christians and rich champions of the military-industrial complex.

3) So much for a public insurance option:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_health_care_overhaul

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Thought this was amusing and on-topic:

http://www.hulu.com/watch/89817/the-daily-show-with-jon-stewart-glenn-becks-operation

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LOL thanks M! He just has to be outraged about someting, even both sides of the same issue. I didn't realize Beck changed networks (not that I watch either). I would love to see a Battle Royale between Beck, Hannity, Rush, Savage, and Poppa Bear to see who is the biggest conservative propagandist prick alive. Oh, almost forgot to include Malkin vs. Coulter for the undercard.... jello wrestling.


If Beck thinks we have the "best health care" in the world, he must be taking too much oxycontin after his ass surgery (it was a complex procedure to make him an even bigger asshole).

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The WHO last ranked national health systems in 2000, and probably won't again because the metrics are getting too complex, but here were the rankings for those who haven't seen:

http://www.photius.com/rankings/who_world_health_ranks.html

1 France
2 Italy
3 San Marino
4 Andorra
5 Malta
6 Singapore
7 Spain
8 Oman
9 Austria
10 Japan
11 Norway
12 Portugal
13 Monaco
14 Greece
15 Iceland
16 Luxembourg
17 Netherlands
18 United Kingdom
19 Ireland
20 Switzerland
21 Belgium
22 Colombia
23 Sweden
24 Cyprus
25 Germany
26 Saudi Arabia
27 United Arab Emirates
28 Israel
29 Morocco
30 Canada
31 Finland
32 Australia
33 Chile
34 Denmark
35 Dominica
36 Costa Rica
37 United States of America
38 Slovenia
39 Cuba
40 Brunei


Life expectancy from 1997-99 (and it's much lower for African-Americans and the poor):

Rank Overall life expectancy

1 Japan 74.5
2 Australia 73.2
3 France 73.1
4 Sweden 73.0
5 Spain 72.8
6 Italy 72.7
7 Greece 72.5
8 Switzerland 72.5
9 Monaco 72.4
10 Andorra 72.3
11 San Marino 72.3
12 Canada 72.0
13 Netherlands 72.0
14 United Kingdom 71.7
15 Norway 71.7
16 Belgium 71.6
17 Austria 71.6
18 Luxembourg 71.1
19 Iceland 70.8
20 Finland 70.5
21 Malta 70.5
22 Germany 70.4
23 Israel 70.4
24 United States 70.0

Rank Country or territory Infant mortality rate
(deaths/1,000 live births) Under-five mortality rate
(deaths/1,000 live births)
1 Iceland2.93.9
2 Singapore3.04.1
3 Japan3.24.2
4 Sweden3.24.0
5 Norway3.34.4
6 Hong Kong3.74.7
7 Finland3.74.7
8 Czech Republic3.84.8
9 Switzerland4.15.1
10 South Korea4.14.8
11 Belgium4.25.3
12 France4.25.2
13 Spain4.25.3
14 Germany4.35.4
15 Denmark4.45.8
16 Austria4.45.4
17 Australia4.45.6
18 Luxembourg4.56.6
19 Netherlands4.75.9
20 Israel4.75.7
21 Slovenia4.86.4
22 United Kingdom4.86.0
23 Canada4.85.9
24 Ireland4.96.2
25 Italy5.06.1
26 Portugal5.06.6
27 New Zealand5.06.4
28 Cuba5.16.5
29Channel Islands ( Jersey and Guernsey)5.26.2
30 Brunei5.56.7
31 Cyprus5.96.9
32 New Caledonia6.18.7
33 United States6.37.8


Total health expenditures as %GDP, 2000-05:

Rank Location 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 Marshall Islands 22 19.1 18.4 16.3 13.2 15.4
2 United States of America 13.2 13.9 14.7 15.1 15.2 15.2
3 Niue 8 38.1 11.1 12.5 15.5 14.5
4 Timor-Leste 8.8 8.6 8.5 9.2 10.3 13.7
5 Micronesia (Fed. States of) 9 9.8 9.1 10.7 11.7 13.5
6 Kiribati 11.6 12.3 12.6 13.7 13.7 12.7
7 Maldives 6.8 6.8 6.6 7.2 7.8 12.4
8 Malawi 6.1 7.8 10 12.8 12.8 12.2
9 Switzerland 10.3 10.7 11 11.4 11.4 11.4
10 France 9.6 9.7 10 10.9 11 11.2
11 Germany 10.3 10.4 10.6 10.8 10.6 10.7
12 Jordan 9.4 9.6 9.3 9.3 10.1 10.5
13 Nauru 11 10.8 10.6 10.3 10.4 10.3
14 Argentina 8.9 9.5 8.9 8.3 9.6 10.2
15 Austria 10 10 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.2
16 Portugal 8.8 8.8 9 9.7 10 10.2
17 Greece 9.3 9.8 9.7 10 9.6 10.1
18 Canada 8.8 9.3 9.6 9.8 9.8 9.8
19 Sao Tome and Principe 6.3 9.1 8.6 11.9 12.1 9.8
20 Belgium 9.1 9.3 9.5 9.5 9.7 9.6

Health expenditures per capita, OECD nations 2000:

Rank Countries Amount
# 1 United States:$4,631.00 per capita
# 2 Switzerland:$3,222.00 per capita
# 3 Germany:$2,748.00 per capita
# 4 Iceland:$2,608.00 per capita
# 5 Canada:$2,535.00 per capita
# 6 Denmark:$2,420.00 per capita
# 7 France:$2,349.00 per capita
= 8 Belgium:$2,268.00 per capita
= 8 Norway:$2,268.00 per capita
# 10 Netherlands:$2,246.00 per capita
# 11 Australia:$2,211.00 per capita
# 12 Austria:$2,162.00 per capita
# 13 Italy:$2,032.00 per capita
# 14 Japan:$2,011.00 per capita
# 15 Ireland:$1,953.00 per capita
# 16 United Kingdom:$1,764.00 per capita
# 17 Finland:$1,664.00 per capita
# 18 New Zealand:$1,623.00 per capita
# 19 Spain:$1,556.00 per capita
# 20 Portugal:$1,439.00 per capita
# 21 Greece:$1,399.00 per capita
# 22 Czech Republic:$1,031.00 per capita
# 23 Hungary:$842.00 per capita
# 24 Slovakia:$690.00 per capita
# 25 Mexico:$491.00 per capita


Putting that all together, we see that we are paying a ton for health care and health outcomes that far lag behind those evil socialized medicine nations in Western Europe, Asia, and Canada. Maybe one can argue that America's lower life expectancy is also due to lifestyle (overeating, stress) and culture (guns, car accidents), not just health care. While that may be true, our smoking and binge drinking rates are much lower than most of Europe, yet many of those nations outlive us. But the biggest, most shameful metric is infant mortality. That is pretty much an even playing field to judge. Unless American mothers are prone to pregnancy complications and unhealthy parenting (no strong data to support that), it's the responsibility of the health care providers to monitor fetuses, birth those children, and make sure they have a good chance to reach adulthood. Our I.M. rate is 50% higher than France and double Japan's. Unacceptable. Especially when you consider that we commit 15% GDP to health care vs. 11% for France, or $4.6k per capita vs. France's $2.4k. Maybe that's not fair since France is ranked #1 by the WHO. But still, look at the other nations that devote >12% GDP to health care. They're either small or poor, which means they don't have much GDP to spread around anyway. We have the largest GDP, so we're wasting incredible amounts of money on sub-prime care.

Critics of Obamacare are not allowed to say that he is tampering with a great system, because the evidence is just not there. They can criticize Obama reform for cost, scale, rules, and planning, but even Mitch McConnell said that the GOP knows our health system needs some sort of reform too, it just depends on what shape it takes. So only a cretin (no offense to Greeks from Crete) would think that we're doing fine on the national level. Sure Ted Kennedy and Patrick Swayze are getting the "best health care in the world", and best care will still be available (even under a single-payer system) to those who can pay for it out of pocket, but on average the US has a long way to go before we can crown our asses (Dennis Green-ism).

Friday, June 19, 2009

Case study in health care abuse: McAllen vs. El Paso


“Come on,” the general surgeon finally said. “We all know these arguments [why Medicare costs are highest per capita in McAllen than anywhere else US] are bullshit. There is overutilization here, pure and simple.” Doctors, he said, were racking up charges with extra tests, services, and procedures. The surgeon came to McAllen in the mid-nineties, and since then, he said, “the way to practice medicine has changed completely. Before, it was about how to do a good job. Now it is about ‘How much will you benefit?’ ”

Providing health care is like building a house. The task requires experts, expensive equipment and materials, and a huge amount of coördination. Imagine that, instead of paying a contractor to pull a team together and keep them on track, you paid an electrician for every outlet he recommends, a plumber for every faucet, and a carpenter for every cabinet. Would you be surprised if you got a house with a thousand outlets, faucets, and cabinets, at three times the cost you expected, and the whole thing fell apart a couple of years later? Getting the country’s best electrician on the job (he trained at Harvard, somebody tells you) isn’t going to solve this problem. Nor will changing the person who writes him the check.
- Atul Gawande

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2009/06/01/090601fa_fact_gawande?currentPage=all

With the health care debate in DC in full swing, controlling costs and usage are obviously key factors to any reform plan. We previously discussed comparative effectiveness analysis, and it will probably be a key ingredient to any American universal coverage program. This New Yorker piece clearly demonstrates why comp. eff. is long overdue to counter "zealously entrepreneurial" physicians and clinics. We know more care is more costly, but more care is not necessarily better for your health either. "The most expensive tool in medicine is a doctor's pen." I'd laugh if it wasn't so true. The author suggests that the abuses taking place by medical professionals in McAllen is analogous to unscrupulous mortgage brokers in the sub-prime mess. They just want to get as many patients through the door as possible and collect more commission (in some cases, illegal kickbacks). And like the financial industry, incentive systems are set up in medicine to reward these types of excesses, so it's a miracle when some communities like Grand Junction, CO or the Mayo Clinic like can actually buck the trend and offer better health outcomes for less money ("accountable care org's"). The story was written by a doctor too, so he is not just MD-bashing.

Some highlights from the article:

-McAllen... is one of the most expensive health-care markets in the country. Only Miami—which has much higher labor and living costs—spends more per person on health care. In 2006, Medicare spent fifteen thousand dollars per enrollee here, almost twice the national average. The income per capita is twelve thousand dollars. In other words, Medicare spends three thousand dollars more per person here than the average person earns.

-Yet public-health statistics show that cardiovascular-disease rates in [McAllen] are actually lower than average, probably because its smoking rates are quite low. Rates of asthma, H.I.V., infant mortality, cancer, and injury are lower, too. El Paso County, eight hundred miles up the border, has essentially the same demographics. Both counties have a population of roughly seven hundred thousand, similar public-health statistics, and similar percentages of non-English speakers, illegal immigrants, and the unemployed. Yet in 2006 Medicare expenditures (our best approximation of over-all spending patterns) in El Paso were $7,504 per enrollee—half as much as in McAllen. An unhealthy population couldn’t possibly be the reason that McAllen’s health-care costs are so high. (Or the reason that America’s are. We may be more obese than any other industrialized nation, but we have among the lowest rates of smoking and alcoholism, and we are in the middle of the range for cardiovascular disease and diabetes.)

-And yet there’s no evidence that the treatments and technologies available at McAllen are better than those found elsewhere in the country. The annual reports that hospitals file with Medicare show that those in McAllen and El Paso offer comparable technologies—neonatal intensive-care units, advanced cardiac services, PET scans, and so on. Public statistics show no difference in the supply of doctors. Hidalgo County actually has fewer specialists than the national average. Nor does the care given in McAllen stand out for its quality. Medicare ranks hospitals on twenty-five metrics of care. On all but two of these, McAllen’s five largest hospitals performed worse, on average, than El Paso’s. McAllen costs Medicare seven thousand dollars more per person each year than does the average city in America. But not, so far as one can tell, because it’s delivering better health care.

-“[The reason for McAllen's high costs is] malpractice,” a family physician who had practiced here for thirty-three years said. “McAllen is legal hell,” the cardiologist agreed. Doctors order unnecessary tests just to protect themselves, he said. Everyone thought the lawyers here were worse than elsewhere.
That explanation puzzled me. Several years ago, Texas passed a tough malpractice law that capped pain-and-suffering awards at two hundred and fifty thousand dollars. Didn’t lawsuits go down? “Practically to zero,” the cardiologist admitted.
-In a 2003 study, another Dartmouth team, led by the internist Elliott Fisher, examined the treatment received by a million elderly Americans diagnosed with colon or rectal cancer, a hip fracture, or a heart attack. They found that patients in higher-spending regions received sixty per cent more care than elsewhere. They got more frequent tests and procedures, more visits with specialists, and more frequent admission to hospitals. Yet they did no better than other patients, whether this was measured in terms of survival, their ability to function, or satisfaction with the care they received. If anything, they seemed to do worse. That’s because nothing in medicine is without risks. Complications can arise from hospital stays, medications, procedures, and tests, and when these things are of marginal value the harm can be greater than the benefits. In recent years, we doctors have markedly increased the number of operations we do, for instance. In 2006, doctors performed at least sixty million surgical procedures, one for every five Americans. No other country does anything like as many operations on its citizens. Are we better off for it? No one knows for sure, but it seems highly unlikely. After all, some hundred thousand people die each year from complications of surgery—far more than die in car crashes.

-To make matters worse, Fisher found that patients in high-cost areas were actually less likely to receive low-cost preventive services, such as flu and pneumonia vaccines, faced longer waits at doctor and emergency-room visits, and were less likely to have a primary-care physician. They got more of the stuff that cost more, but not more of what they needed.

-In an odd way, this news is reassuring. Universal coverage won’t be feasible unless we can control costs. Policymakers have worried that doing so would require rationing, which the public would never go along with. So the idea that there’s plenty of fat in the system is proving deeply attractive. “Nearly thirty per cent of Medicare’s costs could be saved without negatively affecting health outcomes if spending in high- and medium-cost areas could be reduced to the level in low-cost areas,” Peter Orszag, the President’s budget director, has stated.

-She wasn’t the only person to mention Renaissance [Hospital]. It is the newest hospital in the area. It is physician-owned. And it has a reputation (which it disclaims) for aggressively recruiting high-volume physicians to become investors and send patients there. Physicians who do so receive not only their fee for whatever service they provide but also a percentage of the hospital’s profits from the tests, surgery, or other care patients are given. (In 2007, its profits totalled thirty-four million dollars.) Romero and others argued that this gives physicians an unholy temptation to overorder.

-“In El Paso, if you took a random doctor and looked at his tax returns eighty-five per cent of his income would come from the usual practice of medicine,” he said. But in McAllen, the administrator thought, that percentage would be a lot less. He knew of doctors who owned strip malls, orange groves, apartment complexes—or imaging centers, surgery centers, or another part of the hospital they directed patients to. They had “entrepreneurial spirit,” he said. They were innovative and aggressive in finding ways to increase revenues from patient care. “There’s no lack of work ethic,” he said. But he had often seen financial considerations drive the decisions doctors made for patients—the tests they ordered, the doctors and hospitals they recommended—and it bothered him. Several doctors who were unhappy about the direction medicine had taken in McAllen told me the same thing. “It’s a machine, my friend,” one surgeon explained.

-Beyond the basics, however, many physicians are remarkably oblivious to the financial implications of their decisions. They see their patients. They make their recommendations. They send out the bills. And, as long as the numbers come out all right at the end of each month, they put the money out of their minds. Others think of the money as a means of improving what they do. They think about how to use the insurance money to maybe install electronic health records with colleagues, or provide easier phone and e-mail access, or offer expanded hours. Then there are the physicians who see their practice primarily as a revenue stream. They instruct their secretary to have patients who call with follow-up questions schedule an appointment, because insurers don’t pay for phone calls, only office visits. They consider providing Botox injections for cash. They take a Doppler ultrasound course, buy a machine, and start doing their patients’ scans themselves, so that the insurance payments go to them rather than to the hospital. They figure out ways to increase their high-margin work and decrease their low-margin work.

-In a few cases, the hospital executive told me, he’d seen the behavior cross over into what seemed like outright fraud. “I’ve had doctors here come up to me and say, ‘You want me to admit patients to your hospital, you’re going to have to pay me.’ ”
“How much?” I asked.
“The amounts—all of them were over a hundred thousand dollars per year,” he said. The doctors were specific. The most he was asked for was five hundred thousand dollars per year. He didn’t pay any of them, he said: “I mean, I gotta sleep at night.” And he emphasized that these were just a handful of doctors. But he had never been asked for a kickback before coming to McAllen.

-Powell suspects that anchor tenants play a similarly powerful community role in other areas of economics, too, and health care may be no exception. I spoke to a marketing rep for a McAllen home-health agency who told me of a process uncannily similar to what Powell found in biotech. Her job is to persuade doctors to use her agency rather than others. The competition is fierce. I opened the phone book and found seventeen pages of listings for home-health agencies—two hundred and sixty in all. A patient typically brings in between twelve hundred and fifteen hundred dollars, and double that amount for specialized care. She described how, a decade or so ago, a few early agencies began rewarding doctors who ordered home visits with more than trinkets: they provided tickets to professional sporting events, jewelry, and other gifts. That set the tone. Other agencies jumped in. Some began paying doctors a supplemental salary, as “medical directors,” for steering business in their direction. Doctors came to expect a share of the revenue stream.

-Something even more worrisome is going on as well. In the war over the culture of medicine—the war over whether our country’s anchor model will be Mayo or McAllen—the Mayo model is losing. In the sharpest economic downturn that our health system has faced in half a century, many people in medicine don’t see why they should do the hard work of organizing themselves in ways that reduce waste and improve quality if it means sacrificing revenue.

In El Paso, the for-profit health-care executive told me, a few leading physicians recently followed McAllen’s lead and opened their own centers for surgery and imaging. When I was in Tulsa a few months ago, a fellow-surgeon explained how he had made up for lost revenue by shifting his operations for well-insured patients to a specialty hospital that he partially owned while keeping his poor and uninsured patients at a nonprofit hospital in town. Even in Grand Junction, Michael Pramenko told me, “some of the doctors are beginning to complain about ‘leaving money on the table.’ ”

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Obama considering McCain health care reform


I am not qualified to evaluate the utility of taxing employer-provided health benefits, but what I do know is that it sucks to slam your campaign opponent for advocating a certain idea, then after you've won, find yourself compelled by circumstance to consider adopting that very proposal. But I guess when Congress is unreceptive to curbing tax deductions for the rich to pay for expanded health care, you have to consider even a revenue generation plan that is "so radical, so out of touch with what you're facing, and so out of line with our basic values" (BO, speech in Virginia, 10/08).

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/15/us/politics/15health.html?_r=2&hp
Administration Is Open to Taxing Health Benefits
By JACKIE CALMES and ROBERT PEAR
Published: March 14, 2009

WASHINGTON — The Obama administration is signaling to Congress that the president could support taxing some employee health benefits, as several influential lawmakers and many economists favor, to help pay for overhauling the health care system.

The proposal is politically problematic for President Obama, however, since it is similar to one he denounced in the presidential campaign as “the largest middle-class tax increase in history.” Most Americans with insurance get it from their employers, and taxing workers for the benefit is opposed by union leaders and some businesses.

In television advertisements last fall, Mr. Obama criticized his Republican rival for the presidency, Senator John McCain of Arizona, for proposing to tax all employer-provided health benefits. The benefits have long been tax-free, regardless of how generous they are or how much an employee earns. The advertisements did not point out that Mr. McCain, in exchange, wanted to give all families a tax credit to subsidize the purchase of coverage.

At the time, even some Obama supporters said privately that he might come to regret his position if he won the election; in effect, they said, he was potentially giving up an important option to help finance his ambitious health care agenda to reduce medical costs and to expand coverage to the 46 million uninsured Americans. Now that Mr. Obama has begun the health debate, several advisers say that while he will not propose changing the tax-free status of employee health benefits, neither will he oppose it if Congress does so.

At a recent Congressional hearing, Senator Ron Wyden, an Oregon Democrat whose own health plan would make benefits taxable, asked Peter R. Orszag, the president’s budget director, about the issue. Mr. Orszag replied that it “most firmly should remain on the table.”

Mr. Orszag, an economist who has served as director of the Congressional Budget Office, has written favorably of taxing some employer-provided health benefits and using the revenue savings for other health-related incentives. So has another Obama adviser, Jason Furman, the deputy director of the White House National Economic Council.

They, like other proponents, cite evidence that tax-free benefits encourage what Mr. McCain called “gold-plated” policies, resulting in inefficient and costly demands for health care and pressure on employers to hold down workers’ pay as insurance expenses rise. And, they say, the policy discriminates against those — many of whom are low-income workers — who do not have employer-provided coverage.

When Senator Max Baucus, Democrat of Montana, advocated taxing benefits at a recent hearing of the Finance Committee, which he leads, Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner assured him that the administration was open to all ideas from Congress. Mr. Geithner did, however, allude to the position that Mr. Obama had taken as a candidate.

The administration’s receptivity to the idea is owed partly to the advocacy of Mr. Baucus, whose committee has jurisdiction over tax policy and health programs, and to support from Republicans. There is less enthusiasm among Democrats in the House, though the health debate is at an early stage and no comprehensive plans are on the table.

Also, Mr. Obama’s own idea for raising revenues for health care — limiting the income tax deductions that the most affluent taxpayers claim — has run into opposition not only from Mr. Baucus but also from his counterpart in the House, Representative Charles B. Rangel, Democrat of New York, who is chairman of the Ways and Means Committee.

Mr. Obama’s proposed limit on deductions would raise an estimated $318 billion over 10 years, or half of his proposed “health care reserve fund.” That is a fraction of the revenues that could be raised from taxing employer-provided health benefits.

In the campaign, Mr. McCain estimated that taxing all health benefits would raise $3.6 trillion over a decade — “a multitrillion-dollar tax hike,” one Obama advertisement said.

The Congressional Budget Office says that including health benefits in taxable income could mean $246 billion in additional revenue for a single year. Stopping short of full taxation, as Mr. Baucus and others suggest, would mean less new revenue.

The latest government figures, for 2007, show that 70 percent of the 253 million people with health insurance received at least some of their coverage through employers. Employment-based insurance covers three-fifths of the population under 65.

Those who want to tax benefits in whole or in part make two main arguments. They say the tax exclusion is a generous subsidy that insulates employees from the true costs of health care, leading them to demand more of it and driving up overall costs. Critics also say the policy is unfair because it favors higher-income people. “It’s too regressive,” Mr. Baucus said. “It just skews the system.”

But in a blueprint for health legislation that he issued last November, Mr. Baucus said taking the exclusion on health benefits out of the tax code would go “too far” and “cause widespread disruption in employer-based health benefits.” Mr. Obama has also said he wants to preserve employer-provided coverage. Mr. Baucus, in his paper, cited other options, like taxing benefits above some value, taxing only wealthy employees or both.

However the proposal is devised, advocates will not have an easy time selling it.

Republicans, like Mr. McCain and former President George W. Bush before him, tend to favor taxing the benefits to finance other incentives for people to buy their own insurance. But given Mr. Obama’s use of the issue in his campaign, Republicans are unlikely to support a change unless the president himself proposes it, a senior adviser to Senate Republicans said.

Many Democrats, especially House liberals, are opposed. “It’s a dumb idea,” said Representative Pete Stark of California, chairman of the Ways and Means Subcommittee on Health. “We have to maintain as much as we can of the employer payments.”

Administration officials often say they will not repeat the mistakes of former President Bill Clinton, whose plan for universal health insurance collapsed in 1994. But Frank B. McArdle, a health policy expert at Hewitt Associates, a benefits consulting firm, said, “If President Obama agrees to cut back the tax break for employee health benefits, he will risk repeating one of Mr. Clinton’s errors by disrupting health insurance for people who have it and like it.”

Some big businesses consider nontaxable employment benefits a tool for recruiting and retaining workers. The United States Chamber of Commerce opposes eliminating the exclusion on health benefits, but James P. Gelfand, senior manager of health policy, said the group had not taken a position on limiting it.

Organized labor, a pillar of the Democratic Party base, considers the benefits among the union movement’s historic achievements for the middle class. But a split could be developing between the manufacturing unions, which have negotiated rich benefit packages, and the growing service employees unions, which include many low-wage workers without generous benefits.

Alan V. Reuther, legislative director of the United Automobile Workers, said: “These proposals would represent a tax increase on working families. They would undermine good health care coverage.”

But at the Service Employees International Union, which was an early supporter of Mr. Obama, Dennis Rivera, the coordinator of the union’s health care campaign, said that while his organization was “predisposed not to agree to the taxing of health benefits,” he would wait to pass judgment. The union, Mr. Rivera said, wants to see how any tax changes fit into the overall effort to revamp the health care system. “We need to see the total picture,” he said.

Monday, May 26, 2008

Health care reform

Universal health care in Massachussetts

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5330854

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5336532

http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/04/05/news/insure.php

http://www.kqed.org/epArchive/R604110900 (could it work in CA too?)

The bill has points that will satisfy both the left (sliding scale of premiums and subsidies for the impoverished) and the right (personal choice and responsibility in health care decisions). Of course the numbers and details are not totally worked out, but it seems feasible and is set to take effect this summer. Of course MA is a pretty wealthy state with good medical infrastructure and only six million people. However, they still have over half a million uninsured residents, and state legislators found that situation to be unacceptable, as well they should.

WHAT ABOUT THE REST OF US?

The USA has over 80 million uninsured citizens, and we’re the only developed country with over 15% of the population uninsured (the percentage worsens to over 30% if you factor out the elderly who have government coverage). This was a major sticking point in the past few presidential elections that neither Bush nor Kerry seriously addressed in 2004. Of course the Clintons attempted to enact “single payer” legislation and health care overhaul in the 1990’s, but were summarily beaten down by powerful physician groups and insurance lobbies. The plan had its share of flaws, and conservatives disliked the lack of patient choice and “socialistic” overtones. After Gingrich and Co.’s 1994 “Republican Revolution” in Congress, the bill was pronounced dead, and universal health care was never seriously addressed on Capitol Hill again. Meanwhile, health care costs, medical errors, and the number of uninsured Americans continued to rise at alarming rates into the 21st century.

http://msnbc.msn.com/id/5224207

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clinton_health_care_plan

http://www.fair.org/index.php?page=1221

http://www.princeton.edu/~starr/20starr.html

We all know the system is broken, failing, and getting worse. One would be hard pressed to find the evidence to back the claim that we have the “best” health care in the world. Even if this were true, our system is the most inefficient in the industrial world (we spend much more per capita and get fewer/worse services in return). If your personal wealth permits carte blanche access to medical care, you will get great service and better health outcomes (like Magic Johnson and Lance Armstrong). If you are poor and live on a remote Indian reservation in North Dakota, or even in urban areas like New Orleans’ Ninth Ward, good luck. The US spends the highest fraction of its GDP on health care (around 15%, versus sub-10% for France, UK, and Japan). Shamefully, we rank 37th in world health care systems according to a WHO study in 2000 (on par with Slovenia and Cuba). Universal health care nations like France, UK, Singapore, Japan, and Canada were all ahead of us, with France being the top nation.

http://www.webmd.com/content/article/26/1728_59750.htm

http://www.photius.com/rankings/healthranks.html

http://www.who.int/inf-pr-2000/en/pr2000-44.html

http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2005/el2005-10.html

If America is the world’s leader, the land of opportunity and good life, how can this be? Our economic system is the most robust in history, and our wealth is unmatched. Is health care a human right or a privilege? We believe in a level playing field here, but how about the ones who fall off the edge? One impoverished, uneducated child can cause major social problems years down the line. Would we rather pay a little more in taxes to improve bad schools and drug rehab, or pay lots for security to keep desperate criminals out of our gated communities and away from our families? The same goes for public health: would we rather work harder to cover the uninsured and improve care, or let people roam sick and unmonitored among us during this time of epidemic paranoia? Millions of American families are one accident or illness away from financial ruin, yet some profligate patients get all the Viagra and MRI scans they want courtesy of taxpayers. Let’s forget the uninsured for a moment, because Blue Chip titans like General Motors are going bankrupt trying to pay for employee and retiree health care too. How can they compete with Toyota and other automakers from nations with universal government coverage? Why aren’t more people up in arms about this mess and why aren’t our elected officials doing more to address the problem (Massachusetts excluded)?

http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2006/02/20/8369111/

http://www.ahcpr.gov/news/costsfact.htm

http://www.nyu.edu/projects/rodwin/american.html

So we are the wealthiest and freest nation in the world, we boast the strongest economy and medical research industry (apart from stem cell work), and spend the most money (per capita and overall) on health care. The percentage of our population employed in the health care field is the highest in the world too. Yet our system is far from dominant, and actually we are terribly lacking compared to other First World countries. In the study below, we ranked worst in various medical care quality metrics behind New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Germany, and the UK (nations that spend a tiny fraction on medicine in comparison).

http://www.medicinenet.com/script/main/art.asp?articlekey=60890

http://www.thecompounder.com/HealthCareCanKill.html

Yes, it is expensive to be an American and to care for one, especially with the growing ranks of elderly and retirees. The meager money I give to Kaiser each year (and I have the cheap, $88/month “Don’t get sick!” plan) could provide care for several villages in Chad. But even factoring in cost of living, wages, life expectancy, and whatnot – we’re still getting totally RIPPED OFF for sub par health care. But we don’t have a choice, right? We need protection in case we get cancer, have a car accident, or get pregnant – not to mention LASIK and other non-essential surgeries. Some people lack even minimal access to health care, and others abuse the system and take more than they need. HMOs and doctors are partly to blame, but they’re also getting squeezed with rising costs and malpractice insurance. Whom to insure, whom to treat, who will make us more money? Tough questions. And our state/federal governments play the fool with our hard earned taxes, getting overcharged for medical reimbursement by greedy drug companies and unscrupulous physicians (yet people still prefer to blame illegals for draining our resources!?!). Bush’s recent Medicare “reform” package is a clear example, which only serves to confuse seniors, marginally reduce the cost of their pills, and yet reward drug makers with subsidies that will cost the nation trillions in the long term! Unfortunately, some people and businesses profit from a defunct, inefficient, wasteful system. Over 10% of American medical expenses are lost to “administrative costs” (a.k.a. bureaucratic waste), that is about $1,000 a person (or $275 billion plus total) according to Harvard Medical School – but it pays people’s salaries and boosts stock prices.

http://www.hmsa.com/risingcost/feature/part1/4.asp

http://www.kaisernetwork.org/daily_reports/rep_index.cfm?DR_ID=32260

http://www.townhall.com/opinion/column/brucebartlett/2005/10/18/171730.html

HEALTH CARE ABUSE (An overly-preachy side note, skip to the next section if you like)

Pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, hospitals, insurance, private practice, and whatnot are multi-billion-dollar industries, and often times they profit when we abuse or overuse health care. The establishment may resist any efforts to downsize, streamline, or reorganize such a cash cow. Those who prefer to maintain the status quo may have more voice with lawmakers than the rest of us. So what are we to do? Drug makers and health care providers might hype or even invent illnesses to try to convince us that we need to shell out many dollars for treatment (attention deficit disorder, depression, allergies, chronic halitosis, etc.). The ad campaigns brainwash us into believing that our lives will be so much better from these wonder pills, hence the rise of non-essential “lifestyle drugs” like Viagra. It’s not just about being healthy and happy, but we need these drugs to be perfectly healthy and supremely happy with our bodies. We’ve been conditioned to expect our bodies to behave exactly as we would like, at peak performance at all times, otherwise something’s gravely wrong with us. And that’s just unrealistic, if not totally ridiculous. But that is the prevailing ideology unfortunately. No wonder why pharma is the most profitable sector of the Fortune 500. We’re flawed, weak humans, not gods! It’s ok to have love handles, minor aches or infections, even deep sadness at times, and yes – someday something will kill us.

By all means, if a patient is in need, he or she deserves access to the best quality care and as many helpful therapies as possible, within reason and ethics. But NEED is the key word, and it’s a misused and abused term in health care. A billion people in the Third World need mosquito nets and antiviral AIDS cocktails (REALLY need them, as in their lives depend on it), yet we’re going batty about flu shot shortages? We all want to maximize our quality of life and avoid heath problems. We all deserve to live long, comfortable, happy lives, but we must assess the cost-benefit of our actions. With finite supply, the health care resources spent on us means that other people, maybe people in greater need, won’t get them. It’s about living responsibly and recognizing your place in the greater community (“what I want” versus what we all need). Plus the more drugs we take, the less effective they become and the more dependent we become. Some pathogens are evolving to develop drug resistance, and maybe our innovations won’t be able to keep up. Most ailments won’t kill us, and maybe we should endure them instead of running to the doctor to remedy every little discomfort.

And what happened to fixing yourself and preventative health care like exercise, smart eating, good personal hygiene (without being obsessive), and relaxation? Those are great therapies, much cheaper and more effective than Prozac, Lipitor, and penicillin. Wouldn’t we prefer to wean ourselves off such medical intervention, even if it means a reduction in extravagant doctor salaries and pharma profits? Just imagine the time we’d save and stress we’d avoid: endless waiting rooms, stuck on hold with the HMO hotline, or the reams of paperwork! And if we really get sick and need help, it will still be there for us. But Americans can be lazy, and we want the immediate, easy, quick fix pill solution rather than enacting lifestyle changes or toughing it out. Our bodies can be frail, but also amazingly strong. Somehow, much of humanity endured microbes, anxiety, and even pandemics before drugs/vaccines were invented. It might involve some hardship and discomfort, but our bodies can heal themselves better than any physician. I’m not calling for a return to medieval lifestyle or the abolition of medicine, but we can’t sterilize the world and thwart every single disease, no matter how hard we try. Most health care providers and health industry workers are good people who want to help humanity. But the system is malfunctioning because often they are forced to help themselves first (even at our expense). Something has to be done.

http://heterophily.com/blog/?p=88 (a blogger’s comments on Laura Penny’s very provocative chapter on the abuses of the pharmaceutical industry in The Truth About Bullshit)

A PROPOSAL BY ECONOMIST TIM HARFORD

Now we are in a quite a pickle, and it’s getting worse with each day we refuse to act. Even some fiscal and ideological conservatives admit that we have no choice but to nationalize America’s health plan. Private companies competing in the tight global economy just cannot keep up with ballooning worker health costs under the current system, and much of the GOP thinks they shouldn’t have to. Plus the number of uninsured Americans is just appalling, and many liberals refuse to tolerate that indecency. Can we nationalize the system and still remain true to our small government, free market traditions? We need a system that provides patient choice, grants individual responsibility for most health care decisions, and punishes/discourages waste, ignorance, and exploitation. We should be able to do the research, compare the cost-benefits, and choose accordingly, not be forced down one path or another by the HMO Nazis or doctors with conflicting interests. We need a health plan that will cover catastrophic problems with no questions asked (as the Massachusetts plan does), so people have the peace of mind that their family won’t go hungry if tragedy strikes. Patient choice and universal coverage… can we have our cake and eat it too?

http://amconmag.com/2006/2006_03_27/review1.html

http://www.commondreams.org/views02/0525-06.htm

http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1282/is_n24_v41/ai_8206533

Like Levitt’s Freakanomics, Tim Harford’s recent text The Undercover Economist takes a rogue approach to the analysis of everyday socioeconomic problems/mysteries in the world today, thankfully in laymen’s terms. He spends a chapter evaluating the US and UK health systems, and then proposes a better alternative that is a mix of the liberal and conservative approaches (kind of like the Massachusetts bill). He operates on the economic principle of maximizing efficiency (benefiting as many people as possible without making anyone else worse off).

http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0195189779/103-9305564-5839827

Harford diagnoses our current health care system dilemma mainly as a problem of information imbalance or inside information (brought to light by Nobel winner George Akerlof). I know, it’s not what you’d expect, but he uses a clever analogy. Like with the used car market, only the seller truly knows the condition of the vehicle. Is it a lemon or a gem? People will try to sell a lemon for top dollar if they can. The buyer can’t help but be suspicious, and obviously wants to pay the minimum possible. But this impasse actually destroys a fair or “perfect” used car market, where buyers pay actual value to sellers and everyone is better off. Instead, everyone loses, just like health care. Based on the car analogy, we customers are the sellers and the HMOs are the buyers. They can’t tell if they’re selling insurance to clunkers like Dick Cheney, or gems like us young, healthy folks. They try to give us questionnaires or tests to gauge our health and scale their premiums accordingly (plus reject costly customers), but an information imbalance still plagues the health care market.

Health insurance is obviously very important, because we don’t know when we’ll need it. But it shouldn’t be so expensive to protect oneself against tragedy or bad luck, and we would hope that the healthy customers help pay for the sicker ones in a group plan. But with premiums so expensive, it encourages unhealthier people to buy (like lemon used cars) – the ones who will actually use the services and get their money’s worth. The healthier, poorer people might decide to cancel their insurance and pay out-of-pocket at the rare times they’re ill (sadly, this option is becoming more and more financially justifiable). So if only sickly, needy people buy health insurance, costs-per-customer will rise, and the HMOs will be stretched and forced to cut back benefits or raise prices to compensate, and they do. Fewer people buy insurance, and those who do get crappier, pricier care. Hence the downward spiral in coverage that we’ve all observed. So insurance companies combated the information imbalance with probes to identify the lemons (could genetic testing be far off?), such as price-targeting consumers with a whole range of different plans to buy (high premium, low deductible plans for the sick, low premium, high deductible ones for the healthy). But all this ends up excluding the most needy customers from care (or pricing them out of the insurance market), which defeats the whole purpose of health coverage anyway.

Obviously the malfunctioning US system is not the only one with problems. Harford is British and he also examines the Western European systems. The voluntary, market-driven US system is linked to risk instead of income (you pay more if you’re sicker, no matter how rich or poor you are – government aid aside). But health insurance is also linked to market forces and employment, which involves the greed factor and makes the US labor market less competitive, as we’ve already discussed. The mandatory, government-driven European systems are linked to income instead of risk (health insurance is a legal requirement like auto insurance, so everyone has access but you pay into the system through taxes on your wealth). Wasteful US health coverage per person costs twice what it does for most Europeans. But both systems have flaws: a voluntary system means that some will go without, but a mandatory system creates care rationing and the “moral hazard” of people living less cautiously when they know their health care is guaranteed and paid for. But universal health care is a source of nation pride for Canadians, Britons, and others who seem to respect human dignity a little more than we do. Imagine being able to walk into any clinic in the country and get treated (when your turn comes) without question and paying hardly anything? A measly 17% of American respondents were satisfied with their health coverage, but only 25% of Britons were happy, so universal coverage isn’t an automatic panacea. The UK’s National Health Service has the huge responsibility of rationing out care. They quantify and evaluate all the medical interventions out there, and decide who is eligible for what treatment based on supply, demand, and the potential improvements to quality of life. But these value judgments are hard for a government organization, people always try to abuse a free service, and some deserving people get snubbed.

People on both sides of the Atlantic complain about the quality of health care and others making choices for them (either the government or the HMOs). People want and deserve a say in their health decisions, but are we responsible enough to make informed, appropriate choices? We need incentive to do so, such as giving everyone PRIVATE HEALTH SAVINGS ACCOUNTS. People can choose what forms of health care they want to buy, and must live with the consequences of frivolity and excess. So they do their homework, consult the right people, and make sound decisions with their future in mind, like selecting which university to attend or what home to purchase. I know some people will mess anything up if you give them the chance, and this sounds eerily similar to Bush’s Social Security Privatization Act, but stick with me here.

The government would be responsible for covering catastrophic costs, so no one will be financially ruined by a sudden cancer diagnosis or broken neck, even if they don’t have much money left in their health savings account. The “catastrophe insurance” would be compulsory in the form of taxes, but actually an individual’s taxes would decrease, because there would be no need to support the inefficient US government employee and public health systems. People would use their income to pay into the health system, like we do for retirement, and everyone would get routine, equal deposits from the government. Lower-earning and especially needy people would get extra subsidies. Unused dollars in the account would accrue interest like a savings account, and could be doled out as retirement supplements or passed on to beneficiaries in your will. Like with Roth IRAs, this is clever because health care costs are generally low when you’re young, but you would build up a lot of savings and interest by the time you’re aging and in need.

Therefore, we can have our cake and eat it too: everyone is covered against catastrophe and patients have choice and access to the highest quality and range of services should they desire. Waste and ignorance are reduced because people have incentive to study their options and conserve health savings dollars for only the most critical needs. Healthy living is also encouraged so people can earn interest and accumulate their health savings for retirement. But if you really want braces or colored contact lenses, you still can, and paying out-of-pocket is always an option. Raw medical costs to us would also diminish, because the HMO middleman is eliminated and medical providers must compete in a free market for patients. So you can get more care for your buck. Of course this reform does not address health care shortages and a growing elderly population, but with less bureaucracy and other inefficiencies, we’d hope that our system would have enough resources freed up to expand and improve for everyone. The inherent conflict of interest between provider and consumer will remain (you want the best care during an emergency, but government needs to ration money), but it will be greatly mitigated. So the system will still be market-driven, but private insurance would be taken out of the equation, saving billions. It’s not a single-payer system, but more like an “everyone pays” system with a government safety net.

What do you think?

This innovative “keyhole economics” system that Harford describes is actually SINGAPORE’S of the last 20 years, which expectedly is ranked #6 in the world by the WHO. Singapore has a higher life expectancy than the US, and the health costs to each citizen are about $1,000 a year, or roughly the cost of US health care bureaucracy alone! Of course Singapore is a small, highly efficient and orderly country with vast sums of wealth and stringent government controls. Yet still they live in a safe, democratic, and capitalist society with shrewd and intelligent pragmatist leaders. They saw beyond the petty political and ideological squabbles of market-driven versus “socialized” health coverage, and decided to merge the two instead. But if we’re the greatest country in the world, why can’t we do just as well, if not better than Singapore? It can’t be all the fault of illegals, frivolous lawsuits, and terrorists, can it? Without health, nothing else matters, right?

APPENDIX

A major tour-de-force analysis from Physicians for a National Health Program:

http://www.pnhp.org/docs/TheHealthCareMess-KipSullivan.pdf#search='health%20care%20industry%20waste%20administrative%20cost'

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I don't think HCSA's will work; while I'm all for market dogma the fact
of the matter is that healthcare is not elastic and won't respond to
market forces in the same way that a non-durable good will. If you take
a look at what a hospital typically bills for a procedure vs. the
negotiated rate the insurance company ultimately pays there's a factor
of 10 difference; this means the rates that the providers are charging
are systematically inflated and won't be significantly affected by
universal HCSAs. A single-payer system, however, can exert serious
price pressures on providers (at the cost of bureaucracy and patient
control.) It seems (though I haven't researched it enough) that the
Massachusetts plan is a step in the right direction, though I've learned
that you can never trust a GOPer or his plans for the poor.

The reason unfunded liabilities are becoming such a problem for GM and
the like is that health care costs are rising at an accelerating rate
and doubling every 5 years. Short of traveling to Mexico for that next
bypass operation there's not much that a globalized market can do to
reign in costs; outsourcing medical imaging, etc. to the third world
ultimately serves to increase profit margins but does little to drive
down costs when the tradeoff between saving $ and saving lives is
non-negotiable.

The healthcare industry is also so heavily regulated that efficiencies
often take a backseat to things like privacy concerns or other
regulations that may or may not make sense (drug safety guidelines?).
The idea that saving $100 by getting your CT scan done across town is
absurd if costs your doctor time and/or convenience (and ultimately your
care) in terms of accessing the results due to privacy regulations, etc.
Most people who truly are in need of healthcare will either (a) pay,
whatever the cost, to get the best care they can or (b) receive
substandard care with the expense shouldered by the public. While I
have Kaiser and BlueCross/BlueShield coverage my doctors at UCSF are
never able to access my test results from Kaiser and vice-versa - I've
found that, even if Kaiser is cheaper for things like MRI, CT, or
Ultrasound, it's better to get it done at UCSF since the doctors there
have immediate access to the results and known what to do with them.

Being a savvy healthcare consumer is not a market externality waiting to
be realized - it's a fact of life. For anyone who ever gets seriously
ill there is no "choice" to become a savvy consumer - you either do or
you subject yourself to substandard care and risk death! While I
certainly can see how a healthcare consumer of the future could logon to
a web page and decide which doctor to visit based on price, I don't see
how doing so would (a) change the quality of care for the better or (b)
significantly impact the *real* cost of healthcare which stems from
regulation and management of liability and risk.

--------

Well, actually a lot of this stuff is going to show up in my
thesis. A little more info...people often think there are two
paradigms of
healthcare deliverance, privatization (US model) and government-run
healthcare (UK model). But, there is a third model, which is used
in most continental European countries, including Germany and
France. This model is the Sickness Insurance Fund (SIF), where
citizens are required to join different (govt.-private hybrid)
organizations. The benefits are things like shorter lines for the
doctor, etc. However, it does cost a bit more as a percentage of
GDP.

Of course, nothing rivals the cost of our system because we pay so
many of our bills out-of-pocket. Incidentally, the same pattern
holds in education (again, we spend way more). The crucial
difference between our system and those of Germany and France is
that our insurance companies are profit making. This is why I
ambivalent on the Massachusetts law; I haven't read it carefully,
but I'm not sure how it's going to work if insurance companies are
still profit making. I have included OECD data on healthcare
expenditure from the OECD (these numbers were tabulated last in
2003).

My thesis relates to the fact that, contrary to popular belief, the
decentralized provision of social programs like healthcare and
education in the US is totally inefficient. Furthermore, the
decentralized provision of programs leads to greater discrimination
in program implementation (e.g. blacks don't get the same access to
welfare that whites do).

Healthy living has its consequences!


A Dutch group did a study on the long-term health expenditures associated with obese, smoker, and non-obese/smoker individuals. While smoking in the developed world is on the decline (at least in public places), obesity is on a drastic rise. Many governments have enacted anti-obesity campaigns in order to rein in the problem, to hopefully save their citizenry and national treasuries billions in health care costs and quality of life losses. In Singapore, they even segregate the skinny and fat school kids during physical education (to focus their efforts on the pudgy kids and hopefully get them to change), which causes some kids a lot of grief and ridicule as one would expect.

But this research group basically concluded that the short-term health savings of avoiding smoking/obesity are offset by the larger costs associated with longer life spans and elderly care. As we all know, overweight and smoking people are more likely to die younger from diabetes, heart disease, cancer, and respiratory problems, to name a few. The medical costs associated with treating such patients are enormous. But the costs of supporting a 95-year-old healthy person are also huge, especially on a European socialized national health system with a shrinking, aging populace. Assisted living, medicines, and routine checkups are all very common and costly for seniors, even if they're mostly healthy. Within the Netherlands, their mathematical model suggested that obese people are costlier than non-obese until the age of 56. Then healthy people cost the state even more due to their extended longevity. Smokers cost the most per unit time, but their earlier deaths make them a "bargain" versus the healthy old dodgers. I haven't really scrutinized their study methods, so if any of you would like to challenge their findings, I'm all ears. Of course the authors think that obesity/smoking-related disease prevention is the right thing to do from a quality of life standpoint, but we may be mistaken to think that such initiatives provide cost savings for the nation in the long run.

So if anyone complains to you about your overeating and smoking, just tell them that you're trying to be a good citizen.

Editors' Summary

Background.

Since the mid 1970s, the proportion of people who are obese (people who have an unhealthy amount of body fat) has increased sharply in many countries. One-third of all US adults, for example, are now classified as obese, and recent forecasts suggest that by 2025 half of US adults will be obese. A person is overweight if their body mass index (BMI, calculated by dividing their weight in kilograms by their height in meters squared) is between 25 and 30, and obese if BMI is greater than 30. Compared to people with a healthy weight (a BMI between 18.5 and 25), overweight and obese individuals have an increased risk of developing many diseases, such as diabetes, coronary heart disease and stroke, and tend to die younger. People become unhealthily fat by consuming food and drink that contains more energy than they need for their daily activities. In these circumstances, the body converts the excess energy into fat for use at a later date. Obesity can be prevented, therefore, by having a healthy diet and exercising regularly.

Why Was This Study Done?

Because obesity causes so much illness and premature death, many governments have public-health policies that aim to prevent obesity. Clearly, the improvement in health associated with the prevention of obesity is a worthwhile goal in itself but the prevention of obesity might also reduce national spending on medical care. It would do this, the argument goes, by reducing the amount of money spent on treating the diseases for which obesity is a risk factor. However, some experts have suggested that these short-term savings might be offset by spending on treating the diseases that would occur during the extra lifespan experienced by non-obese individuals. In this study, therefore, the researchers have used a computer model to calculate yearly and lifetime medical costs associated with obesity in The Netherlands.

What Did the Researchers Do and Find?

The researchers used their model to estimate the number of surviving individuals and the occurrence of various diseases for three hypothetical groups of men and women, examining data from the age of 20 until the time when the model predicted that everyone had died. The "obese" group consisted of never-smoking people with a BMI of more than 30; the "healthy-living" group consisted of never-smoking people with a healthy weight; the "smoking" group consisted of lifetime smokers with a healthy weight. Data from the Netherlands on the costs of illness were fed into the model to calculate the yearly and lifetime health-care costs of all three groups. The model predicted that until the age of 56, yearly health costs were highest for obese people and lowest for healthy-living people. At older ages, the highest yearly costs were incurred by the smoking group. However, because of differences in life expectancy (life expectancy at age 20 was 5 years less for the obese group, and 8 years less for the smoking group, compared to the healthy-living group), total lifetime health spending was greatest for the healthy-living people, lowest for the smokers, and intermediate for the obese people.

What Do These Findings Mean?

As with all mathematical models such as this, the accuracy of these findings depend on how well the model reflects real life and the data fed into it. In this case, the model does not take into account varying degrees of obesity, which are likely to affect lifetime health-care costs, nor indirect costs of obesity such as reduced productivity. Nevertheless, these findings suggest that although effective obesity prevention reduces the costs of obesity-related diseases, this reduction is offset by the increased costs of diseases unrelated to obesity that occur during the extra years of life gained by slimming down.



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